Former Trump campaign staffer hopes her $1.35M haul will help send her to Congress – Jewish Insider

South Carolina State Representative Nancy Mace likes to think of herself as a uniting force. Im a big believer in bringing people together, Mace, who is on Tuesdays ballot in the Republican primary for the states 1st congressional district, told Jewish Insider in a recent interview.

But Mace first has to unite the party behind her, and beat out three other candidates all vying to challenge first-term Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-SC) in November.

Mace is up against local town councilwoman and financial planner Kathy Landing, Bikers for Trump founder Chris Cox and affordable housing advocate Brad Mole. All are hoping to unseat Cunningham, who flipped the seat in 2018. Cunningham won the district, which the Cook Political Report has rated a toss-up, by less than 4,000 votes.

At a May 26 debate, Landing, Cox and Mole aimed their collective fire at Mace, calling her a party insider and accusing her of being fired from the Trump campaign in 2016. At points, Cox even attempted to hijack the debate, pulling out his own questions for Mace and interrupting the debate moderator to challenge the state lawmakers answers, prompting boos from the audience. Cox did not respond to an interview request.

In an interview with Jewish Insider, Mace said her opponents accusations are baseless. She says she left the campaign in August 2016, before being elected to the South Carolina House of Representatives in November. Im the only candidate that has a real campaign going, she added. Theyre all nice people, but weve raised almost $1.4 million If youre going to take on one of the top two seats in the nation in November, you better know how to fundraise.

Mace has raised $1.35 million, more than twice Landings haul to date. Cox and Mole both trail far behind. Mace is also leading in the polls an April poll by the Club for Growth, which is backing Mace, found her 29 points ahead of Landing, though it predicted she would still fall short of the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff.

Mace also seems to be the favorite of a number of GOP insiders. Shes in a higher level of the National Republican Congressional Committees Young Guns program than Landing, and has been endorsed by House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). The White House has yet to make an endorsement in the race though Mace spent a year working as a field and coalition director on the Trump campaign but Vice President Mike Pence spoke favorably of the state representative during a February speech at military college The Citadel, Maces alma mater. Club for Growths PAC has also spent nearly $600,000 to boost her.

Landing, however, has the backing of the House Freedom Caucuss political arm and Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH).

Despite the gap between Mace and Landing in primary polling, a recent poll of 500 likely voters in the district found both Mace and Landing in statistical ties with Cunningham in hypothetical head-to-head matchups.

While the two candidates are mostly aligned on policy issues, they both attempted to distinguish themselves on their prior experience.

I have the experience necessary to go up against an incumbent, Mace said. A lot of the legislation and issues that the Democrat incumbent talks about are things that Ive worked on, and had an impact in, and have the knowledge to be able to go toe-to-toe on the issues and policy.

She specifically pointed to her work on infrastructure, healthcare, taxes and environmental conservation, as well as a bill she introduced banning the shackling of pregnant inmates, which was recently signed into law. A lot of what I do is non-partisan, she said.

Mace also highlighted her time at The Citadel, where she was the schools first female graduate. She dropped out of high school at age 17, but eventually earned her diploma and looked to The Citadel as an opportunity for a second chance.

It was a real personal challenge, a personal journey, to prove to myself that I could go to a place where I would face enormous adversity, where I faced death threats, she said of her years at the premiere military college. That experience taught me so many valuable lessons about life. One, about the value of hard work But it also taught me about courage to stand up and speak out. Speak for yourself, but also speak out, be a voice for others, maybe those that dont have a voice And it gave me confidence.

Landing hopes to use her experiences as a financial planner and in local government to address fiscal issues. She emphasized that she has no interest in a career as a politician, and supports enacting congressional term limits. I dont need a new career, she said. I have a wonderful career and Im very successful at what I do. Im going to actually use my skill set to try to serve our community and America.

Both candidates also cast themselves as strong supporters of Israel.

I think that [the U.S.-Israel] relationship has become the strongest its been in a long time, Landing said, some might even argue ever, because President [Donald] Trump clearly understood the importance of focusing on things that had been sort of paid lip service for years.

In a position paper she submitted to AIPAC, Landing blamed Palestinian leadership for blocking a two-state solution. The Palestinian Authority is a defunct and internally divided organization Hamas has been the main reason for the erosion of PA legitimacy, she said. Until the Palestinians become serious about ending their use of violence and bellicose rhetoric as a tool in negotiations with Israel, expect the two-state solution to remain a distant dream.

Landing added that she believes representatives who promote boycotts against Israel do not belong in Congress. I just cannot believe those that are pushing BDS. Im just disgusted with that. I dont understand, she said. She also criticized Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) for calling migrant detention camps along the southern border of the U.S. concentration camps.

Mace likewise believes the U.S. should throw its full support behind the Jewish state, and lists Stand with Israel among the top policy priorities on her website. I think Israel should be able to decide for herself when negotiating an agreement with the Palestinian Authority, she told JI. I would never presume to dictate the terms of any of that.

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Former Trump campaign staffer hopes her $1.35M haul will help send her to Congress - Jewish Insider

Will Merkel and massive Covid-19 recovery fund produce an EU miracle? – The Straits Times

Next month, and in the midst of an unprecedented crisis, Germany will take over the presidency of the Council of the European Union.

With a United States in economic and political disarray, and an increasingly intolerant China, maintaining the unity of Europe is the first order of the day.

"Thank God it's Merkel," observers in Brussels are saying, hailing the virtues of the German Chancellor.

In normal times, steering the EU tanker of 27 members is a herculean task. Now, it requires even more of what Dr Angela Merkel is known for: stamina, staying power and resilience.

One year before stepping down as chancellor, it also will be her last chance to put her stamp on her international legacy.

Dr Merkel seems utterly determined to achieve this.

Among other things, the Chancellor wants to keep the centrifugal forces within the EU in check.

Europe's leading economy will hold the rotating presidency for six months from July 1, and under the presidency of Germany, the character of the union might dramatically change.

When Germany takes over from current incumbent Croatia, the community of European states, originally set up as an alliance mainly promoting free trade, and which then morphed into a supranational pseudo-state, could end up being rid of many of its flaws.

One is the lack of assertiveness of the quasi-government, the European Commission, currently led by Merkel confidante Ursula von der Leyen.

This might be dealt with by using heaps of money. "Never waste a good crisis", a well-known saying goes - and this is exactly what the German EU presidency could set out to do: Use many billions of euros to achieve a much deeper integration of the member states.

The Covid-19 crisis has laid open the fragile financial state of many member states, with Greece, Italy and Portugal all indebted well above 100 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), and Belgium, France, Spain and Cyprus above 90 per cent.

In 1992, in the Dutch city of Maastricht, the EU members agreed, among other things, to not exceed debt of 60 per cent.

But even Germany had a hard time meeting all the Maastricht criteria.

However, in March, amid the coronavirus crisis, the conditions were suspended, opening the doors to taking up new debt.

As the region faced its worst economic crisis since the 1930s, the EU last month announced plans to raise 750 billion (S$1.18 trillion) from the financial markets for a coronavirus recovery fund.

Disbursement is planned from next year to 2024, with the biggest share going to the ones who need it most, mainly Italy and Spain. Two-thirds of the money would be in the form of grants which do not have to be paid back.

The proposed rescue package, comprising loans as well as grants, will allow money to be transferred from the EU's richer members to the poorer ones. It will also allow member states to issue bonds in the name of the EU as a whole, which will help financially fragile states to benefit from the stellar credit rating of the better-off members.

Separately, Germany and France - the union's two biggest economies - have proposed that the EU borrow 500 billion on the financial markets to aid European economies worst hit by Covid-19.

Under the German-French proposal, the recipient states need not repay the cash. Rather, liability for the debt would be added to the EU budget, to which member states pay in varying amounts, depending on the size and state of their economies.

What's significant in these proposals is that Germany has abandoned two longstanding rules of its policy towards the EU: That there should be no common borrowing and no transfer union outside the existing EU budget.

Germany, long known for its frugality, changed course in favour of spending, to save the collective.

The euro zone economy is expected to shrink between 8 per cent and 12 per cent this year. As Dr Merkel noted recently, "because of the unusual nature of the crisis, we are choosing an unusual path".

The 27 European Council members are scheduled to hold a videoconference on June 19 to thrash out elements of the proposals. The negotiations are likely to be over issues such as the size of the transfers and what conditions will be attached to them.

Hungary and Poland are reportedly opposed to any attempt to make access to the funds contingent on keeping to certain standards of rule of law.

Both countries are run by populist governments which have drawn flak for measures that undermine press freedom and judicial independence.

Thorny implementation issues aside, there is the broader question of whether establishing a transfer union needs more democratic legitimacy. If the taxpayers of the richer countries have to step in should the poorer ones fail to meet their obligations, they should at least be asked.

This, at least for the time being, is not on the cards. With the next election of the EU Parliament four years away, voters will not have a say for a long time.

They will also painfully remember how the current European Commission chair, Dr von der Leyen, came into this position.

Previously Defence Minister in Dr Merkel's Cabinet, her name was not on the ballot, and she was promoted in a backdoor deal by powerful heads of state, in the process sidelining the leading contenders: the Netherlands' Frans Timmermans and fellow German politician Manfred Weber.

This horse-trading - which, in particular, French President Emmanuel Macron had a hand in - was a huge blow to the EU's democratic legitimacy.

However, despite the question marks over the coronavirus rescue proposals, the gigantic disbursements with strings attached might allow Brussels to emerge a winner in this crisis.

One of the birth defects of the EU has been the lack of instruments to discipline unruly members. The union, and even more, the euro zone, works only if all members subscribe to the common playbook, including the Maastricht Treaty.

So far, violations of the rules have had only minor consequences.

In the case of France, whose budget deficit has frequently exceeded the threshold of 3 per cent of GDP, fines were deferred or exemptions granted.

The same is true for other countries, including Portugal, Spain and Greece.

With rule-breakers unafraid of ramifications, the penalties carry little weight.

Mr Matteo Salvini, deputy prime minister of Italy in 2018 and last year, and a right-wing populist of the party Lega, openly flouted the treaties and basically said: "I take up debt as I see fit."

With the loans and grants handed out in the name of the EU, Brussels could now either stop payments if rules are violated, or even strip countries of voting rights.

If such a framework is worked out and agreed upon at an EU summit next month, Brussels, for the first time, would have a powerful toolbox at its disposal.

This could even pacify members who still struggle with the formation of a debt-and-transfer union, and hence a European superstate.

The so called "frugal four" - Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria and Sweden - believe that a joint and several liability situation is the wrong path. They have tabled a counterproposal advocating a one-off emergency fund, and are insisting that the recipients would have to display a "strong commitment to reforms and the fiscal framework".

Much tough bargaining lies ahead, and Dr Merkel will need to invest all her political capital to make the union change.

At the same time, she might be able to take advantage of the fact that one of the EU's key foot-draggers - the United Kingdom - is no longer part of it. London, always eager to rein in Brussels and limit the EU's power, is no longer an obstacle because of Brexit.

What the Chancellor also has going for her is the unprecedented nature of the Covid-19 situation that will help focus minds on the job of saving the EU from its most dire economic crisis yet, while coming to grips with some of its fundamental shortcomings as a regional grouping.

If in sync, Dr Merkel, Mr Macron and Dr von der Leyen can finally walk the talk on an ever closer union.

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Will Merkel and massive Covid-19 recovery fund produce an EU miracle? - The Straits Times

How The Right Pro-Growth Policies Can Restore The American Economy – The Federalist

During most of my time at the White House over the last year, America was experiencing one of the best labor markets ever.

The White House called it a blue-collar boom. And they were right.

Then the Wuhan Virus changed everything. As Americans became infected, the resulting fear brought the dynamic blue-collar boom to a frozen standstill. Examining the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations measure of mobility by state reveals that people started practicing social distancing well before state and local governments shut down society. Subsequently, official government-mandated shutdowns solidified the ensuing fear and economic destruction.

Its important to know where weve been in order to know how we should proceed.

The first thing to note is that we should never shut down the economy again. This should not be a precedent; it should be a lesson about how families, employers, and state and local governments must be better prepared to deal with these types of economic downturns in the future.

Where were we in February 2020, before this catastrophe happened?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics total nonfarm jobs data shows there was a fantastic monthly average of 216,000 new jobs created for the three months through February. In only two months, the U.S. economy added 465,000 jobs24,000 more jobs than the Congressional Budget Office projected for the entirety of 2020 in its final pre-2016 election forecast.

More than 7 million jobs had been added since the 2016 election5 million more than the CBOs pre-2016 projection. The robust job creation contributed to the unemployment rate dropping to just 3.5 percentthe lowest in 50 years. The last time unemployment was that low, Nixon was president, and the first man just landed on the moon. The lives of Americans have improved much in the last half-century.

During the boom, wages continued to rise faster than the general level of prices. And not only had income inequality declined, but wealth inequality was also declining, as the wealth of the bottom half increased three times faster than the top half.

After struggling through the Obama years, the manufacturing sector added more than 500,000 jobs during Trumps tenure. Construction jobs also increased substantially more than pundits and many economists thought possible.

This was before the Great Disruption of COVID-19 and the government shutdowns that unsettled our lives and ruined the livelihoods of millions of Americans.

Starting down the road to recovery begins with understanding how reached those earlier peaks.

During his time in office, President Trump implemented a barrage of pro-growth policies. Tax cuts, deregulation, energy abundance, and reformed trade deals unleashed the immense capabilities of American ingenuity. The result was a level of human flourishing not seen in most peoples lifetime.

Many claimed during the Obama administration that slow growth and declining opportunities were to be the new normal for the U.S. economy. Yet in just a short three years under Trump, those claims were proven wrong. In place of the economic malaise under Obama, came a new institutional framework supporting increased freedom and a genuine chance for all Americans to prosper.

Pro-growth policies that support free markets and free people will help us climb out of the economic despair were mired in. Instead, unexpected, unfortunate events sent many asking for handouts from taxpayers.

When you combine what was passed in legislation directly to people or programs with the amount authorized to the Federal Reserve to leverage for funding opportunities, Congress gave them plentyto the tune of more than $9 trillion. But this policy could very well lead to a deepening and extending of the economic downturn, similar to what we witnessed during the Great Depression and Great Recession of 2008.

Furthermore, we havent even spent it all. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that more than $5 trillion hasnt been allocated yet. Now is not the time to grant more requests for bailouts.

Research conducted by Casey Mulligan, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago, shows that the costs of the pandemic and from the shutdowns have exceeded nearly $14,000 per household and the life years lost from increased unemployment and missed health care have been double those lost from COVID-19. Ultimately, the amount of fear Americans felt about the worrisome virus, along with the mixed signals from Congress, made the situation worse. We need to end the shutdowns before more damage is done.

If the pandemic hadnt hit, the nations 130 million private-sector workers could have generated $16 trillion of income in 2020. Large sectors of the economy are reelingfrom leisure and hospitality to retail, to manufacturing, to construction. Consider that if half of all private-sector workers and their employers are idled for three months, then $2 trillion in economic activity or 10% of GDP will be destroyed.

Unfortunately, most of the lost GDP will not be coming back, at least not very soon. It is reasonable to assume a return to a lower level of output and return to growth over time, in a check-shaped growth pattern as pent up demand and supply eventually get going again. But more importantly, the longer the shutdown lasts, the smaller the growth will be afterward as production will be inhibited with fewer employers in business and impacted supply chains.

This can change quickly, however, if we implement pro-growth policies. The path forward should consist of ways to get businesses operating and people back to work. One template for how to get this done is the recovery agenda advocated by the think tank I work for. By supporting the Workplace Recovery Act, suspending all payroll taxes, and permanently eliminating regulations that were suspended during the crisis, we can get the American economy roaring again.

For the sake of Americas future generations, we must get our fiscal house in order at all levels of government. We must impose strict fiscal rules that limit government spending, move to a less burdensome tax system, and reform welfare programs to build a system of opportunity and prosperity.

Ultimately, we need more freedom, not more government. Achieving this will allow us to soar back to the economic heights before this Great Disruption and much higher still. All we need is the political will to get it done.

Vance Ginn, Ph.D., is Chief Economist at the Texas Public Policy Foundation in Austin, Texas. He is the former Associate Director for Economic Policy of the Office of Management and Budget at the Executive Office of the President.

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How The Right Pro-Growth Policies Can Restore The American Economy - The Federalist

Inequality manifests in stimulus – Mail and Guardian

Among the many inequalities revealed by the Covid-19 pandemic, one of the most striking is the dramatic divergence in governments fiscal responses. Economic activity has collapsed worldwide as a result of lockdown measures to contain the coronavirus. But although some developed countries have been able to deploy fiscal stimulus on an unprecedented scale, most have not.

Since March, the United States government has announced additional spending amounting to more than 14% of gross domestic product (GDP). In Japan, the figure is more than 21%, compared to nearly 10% in Australia and about 8.4% in Canada. In Europe, lack of agreement on a strong joint stimulus effort has led to more varied responses, from additional spending ranging from 1.4% of GDP in Italy and 1.6% in Spain to 9% in Austria, with Germany and France in the middle, at 4.9% and 5%, respectively. Rigid European Union budget rules continue to limit government spending in precisely those countries that need it the most.

Meanwhile, monetary-policy responses have expanded the fiscal capacity available at subnational levels of government in many advanced economies. By cutting interest rates, buying up municipal and provincial bonds, and introducing new lending facilities for specific sectors and enterprises, the US Federal Reserve and other major central banks have used all means at their disposal to keep borrowing costs low, and to maintain public agencies liquidity.

By contrast, the fiscal response across most developing economies has been underwhelming, but not because the economic conditions facing these governments are any less challenging. If anything, the lockdown measures and disruption of global trade and investment have inflicted even greater damage on developing and emerging economies.

In India, for example, it is estimated that 122-million people lost their jobs in April alone. Worse, despite lockdown measures, the number of Covid-19 cases in the country continued to rise rapidly. Declining remittances and sharply falling export and tourism revenues have battered many other developing economies as well, even those with less stringent lockdowns.

Yet, despite large-scale job losses and declining household incomes, there has been relatively little fiscal response. Although Prime Minister Narendra Modi just announced a package amounting to 10% of GDP, this includes earlier allocations and the expected effects of monetary measures. Additional public spending will comprise only a minuscule fraction of the total amount.

These differences are evident even within the G20. By the end of April, new public spending by the groups emerging economies averaged about 3% of GDP, compared to 11.6% among the advanced economies. And even within that cohort, there was wide variation, with South Africa increasing spending to 10% of GDP, while Indias new public spending was less than 1%. Not surprisingly, outside the G20, low-income countries have struggled to marshal even tiny rescue packages, let alone anything sufficient to combat the virus and avert economic collapse.

Much of this difference in fiscal responses can be explained by long-standing systemic inequalities in the global economy, in which developing countries must borrow in internationally accepted reserve currencies. As a result, they do not have the fiscal freedom enjoyed by countries that issue such currencies. That is why a new issue of the International Monetary Funds reserve asset special drawing rights has become such an urgent priority.

Moreover, many developing economies were already being crushed by a mountain of external debt before the pandemic struck. For example, African countries (as a group) were spending more on debt service than on public health. Although many bondholders and other creditors remain in denial about the need for substantial debt relief, the imminent implosion of global debt makes this outcome inevitable.

The widespread cessation of economic activity means that tax revenues are plummeting just when governments need to increase spending. For developed-country governments that can borrow directly from the central bank, this isnt really a problem. But for most developing countries, the calculus is more difficult. Even those without immediate debt-repayment concerns are showing little inclination to raise public spending to anywhere near the levels needed to prevent a broader economic collapse.

The reason is simple: most of these countries fear capital flight. Already, more than $100-billion has poured out of developing countries since the pandemic began. Aside from debt denominated in foreign currencies, more than a quarter of developing countries local-currency debt is held by foreigners, and liberalised capital-account rules in many countries have made it easier for domestic residents to shift their funds abroad. All of this leaves developing countries exceedingly vulnerable, meaning the fear of financial markets acts as a major constraint on even the most obvious and urgently needed policies.

In India, for example, a top finance ministry adviser justified the pathetically small size of the governments stimulus package by raising concerns about the countrys sovereign rating. Never mind that an inadequate response increases the likelihood of a major economic collapse in which hundreds of millions of Indians will face poverty and hunger. In South Africa, the deputy finance minister created controversy for making the perfectly reasonable suggestion that the central bank should buy government bonds directly.

In this self-imposed climate of neoliberal fear, the very idea of instituting capital controls is dismissed as crazy, on the grounds that it would frighten away foreign investors. Yet the economic fallout from the pandemic has made a substantial increase in public spending essential for most developing economies. Besides, how many foreign investors (other than those keen to snatch up assets on the cheap) will be attracted by economies that have been left completely devastated?

Well before the pandemic arrived, it was evident that the financialisation of the global economy was fuelling massive levels of inequality and economic volatility. In this unprecedented crisis, the need to rein it in has become a matter of life or death. Project Syndicate

Jayati Ghosh is professor of economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi, executive secretary of International Development Economics Associates, and a member of the Independent Commission for the Reform of International Corporate Taxation

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Inequality manifests in stimulus - Mail and Guardian

New Legislative Caucus Established, Members Say They Will Focus on a Reform Agenda – Effingham’s News Leader

Published on May 22 2020 10:00 amLast Updated on May 22 2020 10:00 amWritten by Greg Sapp

A group of Illinois Republican House members have created the Illinois Taxpayer Freedom Caucus that will work within the House Republican Caucus. A caucus release says the group will have a primary focus of promoting structural and ethical reforms in the state.

Members of the Taxpayer Freedom Caucus include Representatives John Cabello (R-Machesney Park); Joe Sosnowski (R-Rockford); Blaine Wilhour (R-Effingham); Dan Caulkins (R-Decatur); Brad Halbrook (R-Shelbyville); Chris Miller (R-Oakland); Allen Skillicorn (R-Crystal Lake); Darren Bailey (R-Xenia); Andrew Chesney (R-Freeport); David McSweeney (R-Barrington Hills); Amy Grant (R-Wheaton); Terri Bryant (R-Murphysboro); Randy Freese (R-Quincy); Dave Severin (R-Benton); Tom Morrison (R-Palatine); Tom Weber (R-Lake Villa); Patrick Windhorst (R-Metropolis); Dan Swanson (R-Alpha); Charlie Meier (R-Okawville); and Tony McCombie (R-Savanna).

The members of the IL Taxpayer Freedom Caucus issued the following statement:

There is a growing number of legislators who are tired of the business as usual politics that is bankrupting our state. We have major fiscal issues and structural imbalances that stifle our ability to grow, create jobs and aggressively utilize our many natural advantages.

We need to do more than just tinker with a few policies. We need to transform how our government works.

The Democrat party in Illinois is too unaccountable. The lack of a proper check on their influence has resulted in an agenda that is extreme, one-sided and renders vast regions of our state powerless.

The current political operations in Illinois have shown that they are unwilling to meaningfully address these imbalances in a way that is sustainable for the future.

Spending reform, economic growth, and ethical government are the answers to our problems. Enacting policies that allow our economy to grow and dealing with our major budgetary and debt drivers in a way that is fair to all taxpayers is our only pathway to economic prosperity and stability in Illinois.

The pandemic has exposed the failure of the current economic policies in Illinois. If we had taken the proper steps to control spending, reform our structural imbalances, and eliminate the influence peddling in our government, we would be in a much better position to deal with these emergencies and our children and grandchildren would not be burdened with an endlessly oppressive tax system.

This caucus intends to work within the Republican Caucus to present honest assessments and provide realistic solutions. We acknowledge that at this point, none of the answers are easy or popular but we were sent to Springfield to deal with the real issues.

The Caucus is to meet this week and elect officers.

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New Legislative Caucus Established, Members Say They Will Focus on a Reform Agenda - Effingham's News Leader

Buying The Third Congressional District – Los Alamos Reporter

BY TOM WRIGHTSanta Fe

The race is on for Democrats to replace Ben Ray Lujan in the CD3, which takes in all of northern New Mexico and Quay and Curry Counties in eastern New Mexico. The Democrat Primary has fielded eight candidates who have raised a record total of $4,707,002 as per currently published figures from the Federal Election Commission.

The Republicans have fielded five candidates who raised a total of $108,235.

Why is this House District so valuable to Democrats? It has been held by them since 1982, with the exception of one special election when Republican Bill Redmond won the district when then Representative Bill Richardson was appointed our Ambassador to the United Nations. It is also the district that holds New Mexicos capital city, Santa Fe.

The campaign funds raised by the Democrat candidates have come largely from outside the state. Valerie Plame has raised the most among the field with receipts of over $2 Million and disbursements of $1.7 Million, with most of her donations coming from outside New Mexico.

Conversely, the Republican candidates have much smaller war chests, but their funding comes mostly from New Mexicans.

Traditionally, northern New Mexicans have voted Democrats into office, but this last election we saw a split in the Democrat Party between the centrist and the progressives, with progressives winning the governorship, two congressional seats and several state legislative seats. Democrat Senator John Arthur Smith of Deming and Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee is a primary target of his party. He has traditionally called for fiscal responsibility which progressives cant understand and they are attempting to defeat him.

All of the Democrat candidates in the CD3 race are progressives and the pre-Primary Convention choice, Teresa Leger Fernandez has been accused by her competitors as bringing dark money in the race from groups attacking them. They had agreed not to encourage dark money, but thats politics.

Harry Montoya is the Republican pre-Primary choice in the race who campaigns on his record and has disbursements of $14,881. Yet, Montoya expects to win the primary and is determined to defeat his Democrat opponent with his experience and local support. He has been married to his wife Doris for 40 years and has made a life of community service through his fraternal organization, the Knights of Columbus as well as serving as an elected member of the Santa Fe County Commission and the Espaola Public School District.

Being well known in the district, he has been endorsed over the other Republican candidates in the primary election by the Santa Fe New Mexican, Albuquerque Journal and Taos News, as well as former Congressman Bill Redmond (CD3) and a host of pastors and politicians.

Harry describes himself as a pro-life, pro-Second Amendment, and pro-religious freedom conservative Republican who left the Democrat party last year because he said it had radically changed. It is because of the new, radical direction Democrats have taken that he feels he best represents the traditional values of all of northern New Mexico and not those who have brought outside money and influence into Santa Fes politics.

He has dedicated his entire life to helping those who suffer from substance abuse and he founded Hands Across Cultures with a mission to educate our youth on substance abuse prevention. He is an internationally recognized expert on addiction and has served in Argentina and Mexico on assignments from the U.S. State and Commerce Departments to help them organize substance abuse programs. He took a leave to run for Congress from CYFD where he worked as the Constituent/Legislative Affairs Director.

Editors note: Tom Wright is a political commentator and lives in Santa Fe.

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Buying The Third Congressional District - Los Alamos Reporter

A few Friday thoughts on what the Arizona Mirror is (and isn’t) – Arizona Mirror

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In the 19 or so months since Arizona Mirror launched, weve gotten accustomed to disingenuous complaints almost exclusively from conservative politicians, activists, political consultants and corporate lobbyists that we exist to ensure Democrats are elected and are part of a dark money propaganda plot.

Were not. What we are is a team of professional and veteran reporters who have a depth of experience covering Arizonas citizens and the governments they form. We have complete editorial independence: The stories we write are the stories we think are important. Our work stands on its own.

To the extent that our work angered people in the halls of power, well, reporting on things that the powerful dont want you to know is the entire purpose of journalism.

And we havent ever taken a single thin dime from a 501(c)(4) corporation, the entities typically referred to as dark money outfits because they can spend unlimited sums on American politics without disclosing where the money comes from.

The argument has been that were a dark money operation has its roots in how our publishing organization began. States Newsroom, the 501(c)(3) public charity that publishes us and our 11 sister publications, did what many nascent charities do when they launch: It found a fiscal sponsor so it could begin its work while it applied to the IRS for certification as a 501(c)(3). That fiscal sponsor was Hopewell Fund, a charity with ties to the progressive world.

Fiscal sponsorship allows a new nonprofit to raise their own money tax-free by using the sponsors 501(c)(3) certification until the IRS approves its application. For States Newsroom, that happened in summer 2019. By the fall, the complicated process of separating from that fiscal sponsorship was complete, and all ties with Hopewell were severed.

Today, Open Secrets, the news site operated by the Center for Responsive politics (itself a public charity) that is dedicated to uncovering hidden money in politics, wrote about the network of money funding pseudo-news outlets to advance progressive causes.

Deep into the piece, after detailing a variety of astroturfed news operations online and on Facebook many of which were shut down after the election they sought to influence was over Open Secrets turned its attention to Hopewell, which shares resources with two other nonprofits that directly funded some of the other pseudo-local outlets.

The story notes that Hopewell had ties to States Newsroom, and that our parent organization plans to bring in more than $27 million by the end of next year something that isnt all that surprising, considering that there are plans for us to expand significantly.

What wasnt mentioned by Open Secrets is that Hopewell doesnt, and hasnt ever, given money to States Newsroom.

As our publisher, Chris Fitzsimon, told Axios in January, the organization doesnt accept corporate donations or underwriting, just philanthropic donations. What does that mean? Well, for starters, not a single cent that pays for this operation comes from a dark money outfit, despite how much our bad-faith critics yell that we do.

Open Secrets would have known as much had it bothered to contact Fitzsimon before publishing; several hours after the story went live, it was updated to include exactly that information.

I have deep moral and professional problems with people who seek to exploit the decline in local news to advance a political agenda. The model is gross: Masquerade as a local outlet, leverage content on social media, gather tons of data on the people that interact with the content, then feed those people political ads from the affiliated political groups. Their local presence is minimal, at best, and is primarily composed of people without serious journalism backgrounds.

Many of those groups and sites and Facebook pages no longer exist, and Im betting that many of those that do in 2020 wont in 2022.

How are we different? Were part of a public charity that exists to launch legitimate news sites to cover statehouses in states where failing corporate media has left an absence of coverage. Were staffed by veteran journalists who have experience covering their communities and capitals. We have a physical presence at the Capitol, and attend meetings and press conferences and political events right alongside the other members of the Capitol press corps.

Were also raising money from our community not for political campaigns, but to support the news we already cover and build on what we do. The Mirrors local fundraising efforts have allowed us to increase pay, bring on interns and hire more freelancers.

We dont have associated 501(c)(4) outfits or super PACs. We dont gather data from our subscribers or followers so we can later microtarget them with political ads aimed at supporting particular candidates or issues.

We dont get told what to write or what to cover or how to do our jobs. The truth is that Ive never had more journalistic freedom at any point in my career.

That allows us to write original news, to break stories, to cover under-served communities, to provide information for people to engage with their government.

I know that my professional reputation is on the line. I came into this with my eyes open. And I did it because the cause is just: A community cant effectively govern itself if it isnt informed. Thats the mission that drives me.

The very first thing we published was an introductory post I wrote back in September 2018. The words I opened that piece with are more true today, as we face a continually shrinking corporate media:

At no point in our nations history has an independent and free press been unimportant, but the necessity of the Fourth Estate has perhaps never been more starkly apparent at any point in the post-Nixon world. In this critical time brimming with fake news and alternative facts, where the truth is seemingly up for debate and in which the most powerful man in the world attacks the free press as the enemy of the people, journalistic pursuits are essential.

I cant promise well be perfect or that well always get everything right, but well own our mistakes and not make them a second time. And I will go to the mat to defend our integrity, because if we dont have that, we have nothing.

Jim Small is a native Arizonan and has covered state government, policy and politics since 2004, with a focus on investigative and in-depth policy reporting, first as a reporter for the Arizona Capitol Times, then as editor of the paper and its prestigious sister publications, the Yellow Sheet Report and Arizona Legislative Report. Under his guidance, the Capitol Times won numerous state, regional and national awards for its accountability journalism and probing investigations into state government operations.

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A few Friday thoughts on what the Arizona Mirror is (and isn't) - Arizona Mirror

The looming fiscal crisis and the wisdom of Obafemi Awolowo – Vanguard

Obafemi AwolowoBy Obadiah Mailafia

IN terms of financial wizardry and sheer genius in economic statecraft, the only master I bow to is the legendary sage, Chief Obafemi Awolowo. Former Head of State General Yakubu Gowon once observed: If you know of a man greater than Obafami Awolowo, I would like to meet him. He is in a position to know. He released Awolowo from Calabar prison in July 1966; making him Minister of Finance and Chairman of the Federal Executive Council.

Through prudent management of cocoa revenues, he invested in human capital, in industry, agriculture and rural development and in basic physical infrastructures. He created several institutions to drive the process of social and economic transformation of the region. Among them were: The Western Nigerian Development Corporation, WNDC; the Finance Corporation; and the Western Nigeria Housing Corporation.

The old West had the best civil service in Africa, if not in the emerging Commonwealth. Economist, lawyer and philosopher-king, Awo did not suffer from the inferiority complex of the inferior minds who call themselves leaders today.

He was able to bring into his inner circle men of distinction such as Simeon Adebo, Rotimi Williams, Ojetunji Aboyade, Samuel Aluko, Hezekiah Oluwasanmi, Banji Akintoye, Sam Ikoku, Anthony Enahoro and Alfred Rewane.

While seeking the counsel of wisemen, he was always master of his own brief. In his own words: While many men in power and public office are busy carousing in the midst of women of easy virtue and men of low morals, I, as a few others like me, am busy at my desk thinking about the problems of Nigeria and proffering solutions to them. Only the deep can call to the deep.

Great men are always misunderstood. Our Igbo brethren accuse him of having spread hunger during the Biafran War which led to one million dead, most of them children. They also blame him for the policy of allocating a paltry 20 pounds to all Ndigbo as part of the post-bellum settlement. They also attacked him bitterly for advocating the banning of Okirika, an area of business that is still dominated by Igbo traders to this day.

History has absolved him. He insisted that it was not up to him to feed his adversaries in war so that they would wax stronger to fight him. He also revealed that the 20 pounds policy was a collective ministerial decision rather than that of a single minister. As for Okirika, those who still believe in it should be ready to receive the next consignment of the clothes belonging to Chinese COVID-19 victims rumoured to have been shipped to our shores.

With Awolowo as Finance Minister, Nigeria did not borrow a single dollar from the Washington Institutions, bilateral partners or the international capital markets during 1967-1970. Same goes for the post-war rehabilitation and reconstruction of the war-torn East.

Awolowo was a man of fastidious discipline. The British colonial administrators used to complain that Awolowo would not deign to share a bottle of wine with them. Awo conquered the baser passions to allow himself focus on high and noble goals: I will, more than ever before, subject myself to severe self-discipline. Only men who are masters of themselves become easily masters of others. Therefore, my thoughts, my tongue and my actions shall be brought under strict control always.

Obviously, if you want a good Finance Minister, never go for someone as flamboyant as Okotie Eboh. Go for someone who is lean and mean. Woe betides you if you go for a greedy pig. You will only get a pork-barrel. Go, rather, for someone who is modest and restrained in his ways someone who can say No. A man or woman with courage and convictions who can plug the haemorrhage that defines our fiscal space today.

Awolowo was of such a breed. If he saw you with a woman other than your wife, you were out of his cabinet. He believed that if a man could not be disciplined in his private life, you could never trust him with government assets under his care.

He also led by example. It is remarkable that he never lived in a government building throughout his career, unless you characterise his three years in Calabar prison as being residency in a government building. As Premier of the West, he lived in his own house at Oke-Bola, Ibadan. While serving the Federal Government, he resided in his private house in Apapa. He took financial accountability very seriously.

And most crucially, he always did his homework. Confronted with challenges, he was not one to seek advice from Babalawos or from the crooks that go by the name of prayer contractors nowadays. Rather, he would retreat to the inner sanctums of his study: thinking, analysing and developing original solutions. He had this big thing about Mental Magnitude.

Himself a philosopher, one of his life-long friends was the Austrian-British philosopher of science, Karl Popper, with whom Awo used to spend some of his vacation at his home in the outskirts of London discussing issues about truth, logic, freedom and the prospects for democracy.

According to the philosopher Akin Makinde, Mental Magnitude derives from a combination of the thinking of Plato, the Roman Stoics and Ren Descartes. It is, in his words: A philosophical doctrine which derives from a theory of mind and body, with the assertion that the mental is superior to the physical element of a person, and should take control over the emotions, desires, and actions.

Mental magnitude demands that we embrace the discipline of thinking while using our mind and rational faculties to solve humanitys manifold challenges. It is the antithesis of superstition, ignorance, incompetence, solipsism and stupidity. Awo thought deeply through the issues of economic planning, development strategy and policy management; coming up with highly original and creative solutions.

The late sage was a man of supreme confidence. He was not arrogant, although many of his foes misinterpreted his self-confidence as hubris. He did not suffer fools gladly, if truth be told. He was so sure of himself and of his own God-given endowments that he saw himself as inferior to nobody. This is why he was loathed by a Northern Caliphate that was steeped in feudalism and the false mythology of born-to-rule.

Addressing the youths recently, one of his protgs, eminent historian Banji Akintoye, reminded us: Chief Obafemi Awolowos success was due to his confidence that the British White rulers of Nigeria were not superior to Nigerians, and that Nigerians can indeed achieve great thingsYou are much stronger than you think.

Sure, you do not have the kind of money that the corrupt politicians of these days have; but if you use your head, mobilise your huge numbers and your education sensibly, and if you operate purposefully and with discipline as Chief Awolowo would do in circumstances such as these, you can change the destiny of your peoples for the better.

Nigerias destiny will be made or marred in the coming post-coronavirus new normal. Two roads stare us in the face: the straight and narrow calls for discipline, restructuring, rebirth and economic transformation; while the other of profligacy, banditry, genocide, incompetence- portends disintegration and dissolution. It is a choice that we must make.

How we manage the looming fiscal crisis in the emerging global order will determine whether we survive or perish. Awolowos wisdom must be our guide if we are to overcome and prevail. To quote the American poet Robert Frost: Two roads diverged in a wood and I I took the one less travelled by, and that has made all the difference. Wishing you all very joyful Eid celebrations!

VANGUARD

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The looming fiscal crisis and the wisdom of Obafemi Awolowo - Vanguard

The controversy over HR 6666, the COVID-19 Testing, Reaching and Contacting Everyone Act – Valley News

There is a lot of conversation and controversy over House Resolution 6666 introduced by Democrat Rep. Bobby Rush of Illinois with 58 co-sponsors.

H.R. 6666 is the COVID-19 Testing, Reaching and Contacting Everyone Act.

Tracing is not a new idea, but it has been a hot topic on social media and radio talk shows in the last week. Opponents said its likely unconstitutional and violates the First, Fourth, Fifth, Eighth and Ninth Amendments.

The bill itself is short, but it has two sentences which are vague that worry opponents.

The bill grants $100 billion to entities around the country to trace and monitor the contacts of infected individuals and to support the quarantine of such contacts. It would do this through mobile health units at individuals residences and provide services related to testing and quarantines and for other purposes. Priority for funding would go to hot spots and medically underserved communities.

The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention would oversee and send the funds to health clinics, schools, high schools, universities, churches or basically any other entity the CDC chose. One hundred billion dollars in funding would be for fiscal year 2020 and such sums as may be necessary for fiscal year 2021 and any year thereafter when the emergency continues.

The opposition has cited violation of HIPAA and privacy, forced vaccinations and fear that it gives the authorities the right to come into homes and separate family members, including taking children if someone in the home tests positive for COVID-19. The bill clearly does not include verbiage for forced vaccinations or separations, the fear is the vague language will lead to these outcomes. This concern was fueled by at least two items made public.

One was an advertisement that appeared for the Washington State Department of Children, Youth and Families on a Washington state social services job board advertising for workers for child centers, suggesting that child separation for quarantine was already in the works and even giving the addresses of sites where the children would be held.

The DCYF later posted a clarification on the job posting, stating that it was intended only for foster children who had tested positive for COVID-19 or who had been exposed and had no placement available. They furthermore clarified that the addresses they posted were proposed, but they hadnt received previous permission.

A second item was a video circulating on social media which showed Dr. Robert Levin, the director of Ventura County Public Health, speaking before the board of supervisors about a plan to hire up to 50 new contact tracing investigators to find people who have COVID-19 and immediately isolate them, find every one of their contacts, make sure they stay quarantined and check in with them every day.

Levin admitted his poor messaging during a news conference the next day, stressing those who test positive or who are identified by officials as having come in contact with an infected person would not be forcibly removed from their homes.

While Levin walked back his poor messaging, its undeniable that he did say it. The incident fueled important public discussion right now as to how influential employees like health officials should be as it pertains to policy decisions, laws or edicts, limiting citizens rights to leave their home, separate or work in their own business. And again, while citizens typically have complied voluntarily, boundaries are being tested as to how constitutional is it for mayors, county supervisors and governors to limit citizens movements freedoms and their ability to work or be free from forced injections.

There are a couple of petitions on Change.org, a website for activism, addressing HR 6666. One of them states, House proposal HR 6666, The TRACE Act violates the very idea of a civil society. And, it is also a massive waste of $100 billion allocated for 2020 alone.

HR 6666 violates inalienable rights to ones person, home and property, to ones life, freedoms, privacy and security. It is a violation of the Fourth Amendment, as well as the First, Fifth, Eighth and Ninth Amendments of the Bill of Rights. an invasion into our local communities.

Public health officials have also been hoping for technology to help alert them to potential new infections and map the pandemics spread with the help of tech companies. Apple and Google announced in April a joint effort to track the coronavirus by smartphone. This idea also sparked a wave of fear on social media and excitement.

The tech giants have said that their apps would alert someone who had been exposed; however, it wouldnt alert health officials or tell where the meeting took place, making it less helpful than health officials hoped.

While HR 6666 clearly does not include language directly for forced vaccinations, it is another public fear that governors will force the vaccination that President Donald Trump has discussed may be available in the next six to 12 months.

In deciding the constitutionality of a law, there are two ways to challenge them. One is to challenge the law on its face, which could strike the law in its entirety. The other way is to challenge the law as applied to a particular person. For example, a person with health disabilities might challenge the restriction that is preventing them from going outside for needed exercise.

A court could uphold an as applied challenge where a restriction is enforced so rigidly that it creates a harmful outcome in a particular case. While the government must act forcefully to protect public health, its best if restrictions are enforced flexibly, allowing for more personal physical freedom.

Strong government action, with due respect for the governments constitutional limitations and some flexibility in enforcement, seems to be the best approach.

In conclusion, while tracing is not a new idea or action, one of the problems with this contract tracing program is that it is only helpful very early in an epidemic or pandemic. At the stage we are at in the U.S., it is almost useless because we are so far into it and so many people have already been exposed to the virus. As shown by the Stanford University Santa Clara County study and the numbers reported by Bakersfield clinics, much of the population here already has antibodies. But Congress wants to spend an additional $100 billion for this program, creating a huge surveillance system and overreaching program not based on science, and many people disagree with offering money to individuals and groups who agree to monitor their neighbors. The bill is vague on what the outcomes would be for people who have been exposed.

Just like global warming, animal rights, free speech, forced vaccinations, religion, politics, gun rights and myriad other topics, no matter what side people are on, it is most important that they are free to discuss and voice their opinion openly without blatant censorship, such as what is currently happening on Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and other social media networks. Our forefathers wrote the First Amendment covering free speech, knowing that it was paramount for the protection of all the other amendments. We must protect our unique American inalienable rights.

Julie Reeder can be reached by email at jreedermedia.com.

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The controversy over HR 6666, the COVID-19 Testing, Reaching and Contacting Everyone Act - Valley News

Algeria’s Perfect Storm: COVID-19 and Its Fallout – EUBULLETIN

Coronavirus is a godsend for Algerias government to introduce restrictive measures beyond those needed to contain COVID-19. But its new leaders are missing a chance to gain legitimacy, which will offset the socio-economic fallout of the drop in oil prices.

Although protests successfully ended Abdelaziz Bouteflikas 20-year sultanistic rule a little over one year ago, demands have been continuing to dismantle the system, get rid of the old personnel, and institute democracy. The controversial election in December of Abdelmadjid Tebboune who has inherited a disastrous situation has not tempered the determination of the Hirak protest movement. As a former minister and prime minister under Bouteflika, the new president has won little legitimacy, and protests have continued. Now COVID-19 is worsening already dire economic conditions, such as a sharp drop in oil prices. By the beginning of May, statistics showed 10% of confirmed cases have ended in fatality, the highest percentage in the region.

Hirak had already called for the suspension of the marches mobilising online instead before the governments measures, which include curfews and lockdowns, demonstrating a high sense of duty. But instead of appeasing Hiraks demands, the government has maintained the authoritarian style of its predecessors. Tebboune released more than 5,000 prisoners on 31 March but kept prisoners of conscience and leaders of the hirak imprisoned, then subsequently imprisoned journalists and activists. It even passed a controversial penal law, that also covers fake news, and may be used to justify actions against journalists. The regime wishes to see an end to the Hirak, and rejects accusations of totalitarianism by insisting freedom and a democratic climate exist in Algeria.

Tebbounes actions contradict his praise for the blessed hirak and his promises of instituting the rule of law. In proclaiming the measures, the government has shown disappointing leadership, acting in an authoritarian fashion. Tebboune also declared proudly that Algeria was fully prepared to fight the coronavirus epidemic, an optimistic claim given the country has only 400 intensive care unit (ICU) beds, or one per 100,000 people. Despite hundreds of billions of hydrocarbon dollars accumulating during the Bouteflika-era, Algerias health system ranks 173 out of 195 countries. Algerians often refer to hospitals as mouroirs, meaning places for the dying. Not only has the state failed to build modern hospitals but basic hygienic conditions are lacking, and government officials prefer being treated overseas. A 2014 project to build five university hospitals was abandoned, leaving the health sector in deplorable shape.

Before Chinese assistance arrived, the glaring lack of equipment to protect caregivers and care for the sick was evident. Prime Minister Abdelaziz Djerad admitted the health system required a total overhaul. The president recently stated Algerias doctors are among the best in the world but didnt address why almost 15,000 Algerian doctors practice in France. Strict containment measures are in sync with most countries but implementation is challenging when most people live in overcrowded urban dwellings. Water shortages in many areas makes good hygiene and decontamination impossible, while schools and universities find online teaching difficult when many students do not possess laptops or internet connections. And only 20% of Algerians have debit cards in a cash-dominated economy because of low trust in the public-dominated banking sector, making online shopping capability low.

An already declining macroeconomic situation is worsening due to COVID-19. The IMF revised its 2020 estimates for Algeria, forecasting a catastrophic contraction of -5.2% in a country where hydrocarbons account for 93% of export revenues and 60% of its budget. Foreign currency reserves are now an estimated $55 billion (expected to fall to $44billion by the end of 2020), down from $200 billion in 2014, and Algerian crude has recently traded close to production costs, with the fiscal breakeven oil price at $157. In line with its historic aversion to external borrowing, Tebboune recently ruled out seeking financial support from the IMF or other foreign banks, as he argued such borrowing undermines sovereign foreign policy because when indebted we cannot talk about either Palestine or Western Sahara, two causes dear to Algeria. Friendly countries most likely a reference to China are said to have offered to grant loans which have been declined for now.

The government is forecasted to face a 20% budget shortfall this year, but Algerias fiscal response to COVID-19 is actually the largest among the regional hydrocarbon exporters at an estimated 8% of GDP, compared to an average of 3.2%. However, the government revised downwards its 2020 public spending by 50%, halting state projects and slashing its $41 billion import bill by 25% while expanding agricultural production. National oil company SONATRACH will also cut planned investment by half to $7 billion but plans have been revealed to develop other natural resources including gold, uranium and phosphates. But recent growth rates are insufficient to create jobs for those entering the labour market. Despite government attempts to support a rather anaemic formal private sector, estimates are 700,000 jobs could be lost due to potential bankruptcies from reduced activity and a loss of markets abroad.

Facing potential social unrest and the quasi-preservation of a tired social contract, the government has committed to upholding public sector wages including for 50% of the civil servants told to stay home protecting sacrosanct, unsustainable subsidies, and increasing health expenditure to strengthen the capacity to combat COVID-19. A supplementary finance law will include various measures that support businesses and the economic fallout. However, while the government is to be commended for its efforts to aid businesses, supporting large swathes of the population is challenging as approximately 50% of the workforce operate in the informal economy. Weak administrative capacity and insufficient data to implement cash transfers makes the planned solidarity allowance of 10,000 dinars ($80) for Ramadan difficult to allocate to those who most need it. Families, communities, and religious organisations continue to be a social safety net.

So COVID-19 has not created new problems, it has merely magnified and exacerbated the numerous inequalities and failures of the Bouteflika regime to sufficiently invest in human security. Typically, whenever oil prices and related earnings dwindle, the political system promises to reform and diversify the economy. Tebboune is repeating this same old tune. There are positive elements, such as the governments realization it must initiate genuine reforms. And local enterprises have been successfully producing artificial respirators, surgical masks, and other materials. Algerians, including the Hirak, are showing great social solidarity. But the government must capitalize on these positive actions by introducing real change. Because, if not, Hirak will certainly be back in force once the crisis is over, and operating in an environment of worsening socioeconomic problems. The medicine of the past will not work.

Algerias Perfect Storm: COVID-19 and Its Fallout Expert Comment by Adel Hamaizia and Yahia H. Zoubir Chatham House / The Royal Institute of International Affairs.

The Expert Comment can be downloaded here

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Algeria's Perfect Storm: COVID-19 and Its Fallout - EUBULLETIN

Whats Ahead for Off-Off Broadway: The Most Vulnerable but Vital Spaces for Theater? – Observer

As the COVID-19 shutdown grinds on, countless questions about theater loom: When can venues reopen? Without a vaccine, will audiences gather in an enclosed space? Are shows canceled for the rest of 2020? But the most basic, existential query is the hardest to answer: Who will survive?

Organizations big and smallfrom the Broadway mega-landlord Shubert Organization to producers who lease 75-seat Off-Off Broadway black boxesare hemorrhaging cash, no longer able to cover rent, mortgage or payroll. Which of them will call it quits? A partial answer came on May 6, when Shetler Studios & Theatres closed its doors permanently after 30 years. Later that day, the Secret Theatre in Queens folded after nearly 13 years. As the Secrets artistic director Richard Mazda lamented in a public statement: The plain truth is that the entire theater business is in such deep trouble now that I expect that we will be only one of many small theaters that will close.

But Off-Off Broadway is mobilizing to save itself. On May 28 at 1:00 pm, the League of Independent Theater and its sister organization IndieSpace will hold a Small Venue Rent Forgiveness Town Hall to call upon elected officials to protect small arts organizations from being displaced.

SEE ALSO:Frozen Isnt the Only Broadway Show Permanently Canceled Due to COVID-19

The alarm is justified. Barring a massive second outbreak and stock market crash, one imagines the 41 Broadway houses now hibernating will eventually wake up, one by one, and the Great White Way will shine again. As for Off Broadwayscores of great, nonprofit institutions such as the Public, the Vineyard, Second Stage, the Signature, New York Theater Workshopwell see if furloughs, Payroll Protection Program (PPP) loans and the largesse of foundations and private donors keep them solvent until its time to emerge.

But whos saving Off-Off Broadway? Thats the scrappy, sprawling confederation of venues with 99 seats or fewer and the hundreds of groups that rent them for limited runs. The League of Independent Theater lists approximately 138 New York City operating venues, plus more than 40 non-traditional spaces (such as galleries or bars). The Indie Theater Fund has 546 member companies. These outfits, with shoestring budgets and loyal, niche audiences, are the most vulnerable in the current crisis. Its horrible enough to contemplate, say, the incomparable Soho Rep going belly up, but what if three-quarters of Off-Off disappears? The loss of this incubator for emerging stage talent would be devastating.

After Shetler and Secret fell, I wanted to check the health of some of the citys most vibrant Off-Off spaces. What emerged were unique but related stories of real estate and relationships, financial planning and month-to-month improvising, and protecting a home even if you cant invite anyone over to play.

Located on the first floor at 312 West 36th Street, The Tank is two spacesa 50- to 60-seat three-quarter black box, and a roomier 98-seat mainstage. Before COVID-19 hit, artistic director Meghan Finn had been overseeing about 80 performances a month: comedy, improv, puppet theater, experimental work, even musicals (the last show I saw before quarantine was there: Greg Kotiss anticorporate road-trip musical, I Am Nobody). We canceled performances through the end of June, Finn says. That was 273 performances by 90 different artists and companies. And that continues on for every week were closed past June.

More than a lot of Off-Off venues, The Tank relies on box office to keep going, hence the high volume. With a monthly rent and maintenance of $18K, Finn has had to rely on a good rapport with the buildings owner while waiting for rent forgiveness legislation to pass in Albany. The Tank has not paid rent for the past two months, but the landlord has been cooperative. In a sense, hes in as difficult a boat as we are, Finn notes. Its just the bottom of the food chain. If theres no rent relief for us and theres no mortgage relief for him, theres no relief.

Like other theaters, the Tank maintains a lively online presence. Every Tuesday, it hosts CyberTank, a virtual variety show. The thing about the Tank is we dont just do theater, Finn points out. Theres poets, musicians, puppeteers, comedians. Theyre pretty adept at creating and accessing online content. Still, Finn admits that CyberTank is far from being a reliable revenue generator. We are working really hard to figure out how were going to continue to fulfill our mission, she says. Fortunately, we have support from the Howard Gilman Foundation, the Mellon Foundation, the Henson Foundation. But there needs to be some relief.

Unlike The Tank, the 27-year-old arts center HERE (145 Sixth Avenue) owns its two-theater space. Yet its billsmortgage payments, occupancy charges, utilitiesalso add up to approximately $18K a month. And while founding artistic director Kristin Marting is not sweating eviction, every days a fight. Frankly, I feel the most stressed and worn down Ive ever felt in my career, Marting says. I feel so much pressure in terms of keeping my 16 staff members employed, keeping our artists paid, keeping the business afloat.

HEREs online programming (including an original Zoom opera by Kamala Sankaram and Rob Handel) have been partly underwritten by an emergency grant from the New York City Community Trust. So artists are seeing some money. Marting says that HERE has kept up with mortgage payments and hasnt been forced to lay off anyone, due to a PPP loan. The federal cash infusion provides eight weeks of support, 75 percent of it for payroll and up to 25 percent to operational costs. The loan is forgiven if the organization meets (evolving) criteria, which Marting must watch like a hawk. Beyond that, the director says that HERE plans to negotiate further mortgage payments with Citibank.

When not drawing and re-drawing budgets, Marting has been thinking big in terms of HEREs artistic future. It helps that she has spent decades exploring multimedia, site-specific staging and audience role-play. Because she understands: No matter how hardcore your audience, its unlikely that 90 people will gather in a room to watch a dance-theater piece. Marting mused on creating socially distanced outdoor events or indoor installation shows, with five or ten audience members promenading through the building, or hyperlocal performances for people who cant travel downtown. Perhaps audience members could download audio guides, which direct them in a scavenger hunt. Thats a really big obstacle, Marting observes. How do you make people feel comfortable gathering again?

One of the things that may help us survive, says Theresa Buchheister, is that we have the lowest paid staff in the entire art scene of New York. The newly crowned artistic director of the Brick Theater (she took over in December) admitted that rock-bottom pay was a situation she had been trying to improve. Founded by actor-writer Robert Honeywell and writer-director Michael Gardner 2002 in a brick-lined former garage at 579 Metropolitan Avenue, the Brick has been a mainstay in the burgeoning Brooklyn theater scene. Buchheister was poised to open the space to a new generationand a new period of growthwhen COVID-19 froze everything.

The Brick paid full rent for April and half-rent for May, and plans on half-rent for June. But honestly, if we have to keep paying rent, then Im scared, Buchheister says. Gardner and Honeywell, she explains, have a good relationship with the landlord, but a long-term agreement needs to be worked out. Without rent forgiveness or major federal support, and if audiences dont return until next year, she says the outlook is potentially apocalyptic.

Where will the money come from? Large institutions can turn to their boards, staffed with millionaires, and ask for emergency donations. The Brick, as with the majority of Off-Off spaces, doesnt have a sugar daddy. Theres fundraising, but Buchheister has a complicated relationship to crowdsourcing at the present momentespecially if it means asking the community to support the Brick. She refers to a recent Dance Magazine article by director-choreographer Raja Feather Kelly critical of institutions asking for donations when they should be helping artists. With so many unemployed or dealing disease and death, how can she pass the hat around? Were not fundraising in that way, Buchheister says, because it just feels, to me, morally fucked up.

No one is breezing through the crisis, but the leaders of the Bushwick Starr sound a measured, confident tone. We feel very lucky because were in a pretty good position under the circumstances, says Noel Allain, the Starrs co-founder and artistic director. We dont have any rentals and the box office is a pretty small amount of our income. I feel like well be able to weather this and not have to lay people off. The Starr employs 10 full-time and four part-time staffers. Another fortunate thing for us is the timing, adds Sue Kessler, co-founder and creative director. Our fiscal year ends June 30, so the season was essentially coming to a close and a lot of our funding was already in place when this happened. Since the Starr already had rent budgeted in, they dont expect awkward conversations with landlords.

More than most Off-Off companies, the Starr offers a number of educational and community programs, events tailored for diverse groups: schoolkids to senior citizens. All our classes and workshops are running online right now, Allain is glad to report. On May 29, the Starr will broadcast Big Green Theater: The Movie, the culmination of their 10-year-old eco-playwriting program for Bushwick and Ridgewood public elementary students. Theyre funded through different city grants, Allain explains. If that gets cut, all of that will come screeching to a halt. So thats worrisome for us. The end of this fiscal year is more or less sorted out.

The futures a mystery for everyone, but at least the Starr stands on stable ground, thanks to foundation and state support. Its a matter of looking at next year, Kessler says, how long this will go on and what will change in terms of fundraising, foundations, government and all that. For once we feel really lucky that we are a small theater. Were a 70-seat house, which we bemoan in normal times, but right now its a real advantage. It also gives the Starr the freedom to ask what large institutions seem to have forgotten: What do artists need? We are totally artist-facing, Kessler says, its in our bones to react in the same way to this moment: What could we do to help? What do our artists want to be doing during this time and how can we support that?

Americans for the Arts has estimated that the financial losses from the COVID-19 crisis for the arts and cultural sector will be about $5.5 billion. The estimated median per-organization impact was estimated, two weeks ago, to be $38K. Every week, that number rises. As Broadway fans pray for reopening, or we watch the fate of regional giants such as the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C., Chicagos Goodman Theatre, or the Los Angeles Theatre Center, its important to remember that the smallest outfits have the most direct link to artists. Often theyre run by artists, and give emerging talent its first opportunity. If that layer of cultural growth is wiped out, the whole ecosystem suffers.

On May 28 at 1:00 p.m., the League of Independent Theater and its sister organization IndieSpace will hold a Small Venue Rent Forgiveness Town Hall to call upon elected officials to protect small arts organizations from being displaced. The individual players may be small, but when they collaborate, they form a mighty ensemble.

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Whats Ahead for Off-Off Broadway: The Most Vulnerable but Vital Spaces for Theater? - Observer

New article from Tatton Investment Management: Just as the sun comes out, clouds appear in the East – Marketscreener.com

Over the past week, it felt as if the new normal of enforced idleness paired with less stringent lockdown rules and summer weather would lead to a happier mood across Western Europe, including the UK. The same applied for investors, whose portfolios also enjoyed some time in the sunshine. However, the outlook began to cloud over somewhat again towards the end of the week.

Stock markets jolted upwards at the start of the week on news that a viable coronavirus vaccine may become available before the start of the next cold season. A surprise announcement by Germany and France that they supported the issuance of quasi-joint European bonds - to the tune of half a trillion -Euros - with the aim of pump-priming the European Union's post-COVID-19 recovery added to the positive air within markets. Some thought such Eurobonds could become a very powerful counterweight to US Treasury bonds, and help overcome one of the core fiscal and monetary weaknesses of the Eurozone.

Economic news flow later in the week cheered up economists, who have recently been expecting the worst. As a result, data that is only 'really quite poor' rather than outright 'devastating' is being greeted more warmly than we ever thought recession-indicating numbers possibly could. That, combined with oil prices stabilising at levels above $30 per barrel (see separate article) does tell the story of a tide turning, after so many weeks of economic doom and gloom.

The positive stock market movements of the past weeks have all but anticipated this turning already and it takes considerable, optimistic imagination to see stock markets rising higher without considerable risk of 'altitude sickness' hounding capital markets once more. It is undeniably positive that the loosening of lockdown restrictions across Europe has led to an already notable rise in levels of economic activity, but without - thus far - a rebound in the rate of infections. Quite the contrary, many formerly strongly affected areas are not registering any new cases.

Given the rate of infections is still growing in countries blessed with permanently warmer climes, like India and Brazil, we cannot be sure whether COVID-19 is following the seasonal pattern of influenza, but for the moment it would appear that the coronavirus' decline, together with the prospect of a vaccine before the winter, is providing a better near-term outlook than we could recently have dreamed of.

That's where the 'onward and upwards' narrative ends and pressing concerns have to be discussed. First comes the prospect of negative interest rates and bond yields in the UK. This may be a new and alien concept to UK investors, but it has been the norm across the Eurozone, Switzerland, Sweden and Japan for considerable time (and they have coped with this relatively well in recent years). To put this prospect into perspective, for institutional investors the 'real' interest rate is far more relevant than the 'nominal' rate (i.e. the yield after the impact of inflation).

As the chart below shows, holders of UK inflation-linked government bonds have endured 'negative yields' since 2015, lower than other major nations' inflation-linked bonds. Another way to think about this is that investors expected UK inflation to be higher than elsewhere - so nothing really new there.

The other concern is once again that of international politics. Following Donald Trump's tirades against China of the past weeks, this week was China's turn to strike back. Their once-a-year parliamentary session rubberstamped a proposal to align Hong Kong's legal status much more closely with mainland China, which will give the Chinese authorities far-reaching powers to crack down on the freedom-defending people of Hong Kong. Sadly, this also entirely devalues their parallel announcement of intending to honour the US-China trade truce of January (Phase 1 trade deal), because the US would never be able to do the same if China effectively annexed Hong Kong.

Against this new and unexpected development, we will be assessing whether this move is as much a domestic manoeuvre driven by domestic political needs as Trump's election campaign anti-China rants are. We are not overly optimistic at this point and may have to revise our previous optimism towards China - that has benefitted portfolios nicely so far over the course of this year.

Disclaimer

Tatton Asset Management plc published this content on 26 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 26 May 2020 08:27:03 UTC

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New article from Tatton Investment Management: Just as the sun comes out, clouds appear in the East - Marketscreener.com

Elizabeth Ames: Coronavirus ‘new normal’ Don’t believe all the predictions. Here’s why – Fox News

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Now that the nation has begun reopening, we are seeing a raft of predictions about the coming New Normal.

Not surprisingly, forecasts from our doom-and-gloom political class are overwhelmingly downers.

Sports games will take place without fans. Elbow bumps will replace the warm handshake. Happy hour crowds at restaurants will be replaced by half-empty dining rooms.

TUCKER CARLSON: THERE'S NO EVIDENCE CORONAVIRUS LOCKDOWNS SAVED LIVES. MASS QUARANTINES MAY HAVE KILLED PEOPLE

Friendly cashiers at our neighborhood markets will be forever encased behind plexiglass barriers. Facemasks will be the must-have fashion accessory, not only for fall, but beyond.

One prediction heard repeatedly is that the New Normal may consist of recurring contagions followed by lockdowns, kind of like the periodic brownouts experienced by California and third world countries.

It is said that COVID-19 will alter not just our habits, but also our politics.

Were told by pundits on both sides that the gargantuan federal relief spending brought on by the crisis means that expanded government control over our lives is inevitable, especially in sectors like health care. In tomorrows not-so-brave New World, customs and culture, will change forever.

We should be skeptical.

In fact, the nation has lived through a succession of New Normals.

People also agonized over the New Normal in the period following World War I and the 1918 Spanish Flu even if they didnt use that term.

Yet the disillusionment of that era ultimately gave way to the Roaring Twenties. Unfortunately, that exuberant New Normal didnt last. Just when it seemed safe to party like it was 1929, the Jazz Age slammed into the Great Depression and, eventually, the Second World War.

In the 1970s, inflation and energy scarcity were supposed to be the New Normal. But, thanks to changes in government policy including stabilization of the dollar, those disastrous conditions were supplanted by Reagan era prosperity.

In the late 1990s, we were told that the New Normal was the new economy. Stocks of tech companies, however improbable their business models, could only keep going up.

The dot-com bust and the financial crisis of 2008 ended this magical thinking. Faster than you could say red is the new black, belief in progress through wealth creation and growth were suddenly pass.

The New Normal was supposed to be secular stagnation professor-speak for a perpetually stagnant economy and a woke nation that rejected private sector greed.

During that downbeat era, no one could have imagined that, just a few short years later, Americans would elect a president who was the most unapologetic champion of capitalism since Ronald Reagan.

By the time 2020 rolled around before the coronavirus hit the country in the solar plexuscapital creation and growth were back. Secular stagnation seemed destined for extinction.

Based on past performance, todays prognosticators will likely be no better than their predecessors at predicting what the post-contagion world will look like.

Yes, people may be initially reluctant to resume their old activities. But theres no telling how long this reluctance will last, or whether health security measures like temperature checks will become a permanent part of life, like the added airport security after 9/11.

Nor should the left or the right automatically assume that the post-pandemic New Normal will feature an even larger, more powerful Washington.

Fears of the inflationary potential of continued money printing, shared by even some on the left, may help foster some fiscal restraint.

The pandemic is also different than past disasters like the 2008 financial crisis or, for that matter, the Great Depression: Unlike those catastrophes, it is not perceived as a private sector offense requiring entirely new bureaucracies to remedy market failure.

The virus may have kicked off the crisis. But the lions share of suffering that followed has been a consequence of the social distancing responses imposed by the federal and state governments.

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However well-intentioned, those actions have resulted in a loss of freedom never before experienced by Americans.

Citizens were suddenly forced into lockdowns that in some parts of the country seemed excessive and inexplicable.

They are being deprived of access to schools, parks and other public services paid for by their tax dollars.

Forced to sustain substantial financial hardship, many have become enraged by local officials on tax-funded salaries, who have lectured them or otherwise shown little or no concern. The need to flatten the curve is widely appreciated and understood.

Yet there is no telling how the trauma of this black swan loss of liberty will reverberate through the collective psyche of Americans and what black swan results it may produce in the coming election.

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It is natural in uncertain times for people to look to authorities to provide the illusion of certainty. And pundits seeking self-validation are always happy to oblige.

However, if there is one lesson that we can draw from history, it is beware of experts peddling New Normals, especially during an election year.

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Elizabeth Ames: Coronavirus 'new normal' Don't believe all the predictions. Here's why - Fox News

What Kind of Country Do We Want? | by Marilynne Robinson – The New York Review of Books

Magnum PhotosDoa Ana County, New Mexico, 2017; photograph by Matt Black

In my odd solitude I stream the America of recent memory. The pretext for drama, in the foreground, seems always to be a homicide, but around and beyond the forensic stichomythia that introduces character and circumstance there is a magnificent country, a virtual heaven. In a dystopian future, children would surely ask what it was like to live in such a country. Candid memory would say, By no means as wonderful as it should have been, even granting the broad streaks of pain in its history. Before there was a viral crisis whose reality forced itself on our notice, there were reports of declines of life expectancy in America, rising rates of suicide, and other deaths of despair. This is surely evidence of another crisis, though it was rarely described as such. The novel coronavirus has the potential for mitigation, treatment, and ultimately prevention. But a decline in hope and purpose is a crisis of civilization requiring reflection and generous care for the good of the whole society and its place in the world. We have been given the grounds and opportunity to do some very basic thinking.

Without an acknowledgment of the grief brought into the whole world by the coronavirus, which is very much the effect of sorrows that plagued the world before this crisis came down on us, it might seem like blindness or denial to say that the hiatus prompted by the crisis may offer us an opportunity for a great emancipation, one that would do the whole world good. The snare in which humanity has been caught is an economicsgreat industry and commerce in service to great markets, with ethical restraint and respect for the distinctiveness of cultures, including our own, having fallen away in eager deference to profitability. This is not new, except for the way an unembarrassed opportunism has been enshrined among the laws of nature and has flourished destructively in the near absence of resistance or criticism. Options now suddenly open to us would have been unthinkable six months ago. The prestige of what was until very lately the world economic order lingers on despite the fact that the system itself is now revealed as a tenuous set of arrangements that have been highly profitable for some people but gravely damaging to the world. These arrangements have been exposed as not really a system at allinsofar as that word implies stable, rational, intentional, defensible design.

Here is the first question that must be asked: What have we done with America? Over the decades we have consented, passively for the most part, to a kind of change that has made this country a disappointment to itself, an imaginary prison with real prisoners in it. Now those imaginary walls have fallen, if we choose to notice. We can consider what kind of habitation, what kind of home, we want this country to be.

No theoretical language I know of serves me in describing or interpreting this era of American unhappiness, the drift away from the purpose and optimism that generally led the development of the society from its beginnings. This can be oversimplified and overstated, but the United States did attract immigrants by the tens of millions. It did create great cities and institutions as well as a distinctive culture that has been highly influential throughout the world. Until recently it sustained a generally equitable, decent government that gave it plausible claims to answering to the ideals of democracy. This is a modest statement of the energies that moved the generations. Optimism is always the primary justification for its own existence. It can seem naive until it is gone. The assumption that things can get better, with the expectation that they should, creates the kind of social ferment that yields progress. If we want to avoid the word progress, then call it the creative unrest that made 2019 an advance on 1919.

In recent decades, which have been marked by continuous, disruptive change and by technological innovation that has reached assertively into every area of life, a particular economics has become a Theory of Everything, subordinating all other considerations to some form of cost-benefit analysis that silently insinuates special definitions of both cost and benefit. If neither of these is precisely monetizablecalories might have to stand in for currency in primordial transactionspersonal advantage, again subject to a highly special definition, is seen as the one thing at stake in human relations. The profit motive has been implanted in our deepest history as a species, in our very DNA.

This kind of thinking has discredited ideals like selflessness and generosity as hypocritical or self-deceived, or in any case as inefficiencies that impede the natural economy of self-interestsomehow persisting through all the millennia that might have been expected to winnow out inefficiencies, if the pervasiveness of this one motive is granted. I consider the American university to be among the highest achievements of Western civilization. And I know at the same time that varieties of nonsense that would not last ten minutes if history or experience were consulted can flourish there, and propagate, since our entire professional class, notably teachers, go to university. There has always been learned nonsense, of course. But when angels danced on the heads of pins, at least the aesthetic imagination was brought into play.

Much American unhappiness has arisen from the cordoning-off of low-income workers from the reasonable hope that they and their children will be fairly compensated for their work, their contribution to the vast wealth that is rather inexactly associated with this country, as if everyone had a share in it. Their earnings should be sufficient to allow them to be adequate providers and to shape some part of their lives around their interests. Yet workers real wages have fallen for decades in America. This is rationalized by the notion that their wages are a burden on the economy, a burden in our supposed competition with China, which was previously our competition with Japan. The latter country has gone into economic and demographic eclipse, and more or less the same anxieties that drove American opinion were then transferred to China, and with good reason, because there was also a transfer of American investment to China.

The terrible joke is that American workers have been competing against expatriated American capital, a flow that has influenced, and has been influenced by, the supposed deficiencies of American labor. New factories are always more efficient than those they displace, and new factories tend to be built elsewhere. And as the former presidential candidate Mitt Romney remarked, workers in China sleep in factory dormitories. Employing them in preference to American workers would sidestep the old expectation that a working man or woman would be able to rent a house or buy a car. The message being communicated to our workers is that we need poverty in order to compete with countries for whom poverty is a major competitive asset. The global economic order has meant that the poor will remain poor. There will be enough flashy architecture and middle-class affluence to appear to justify the word developing in other parts of the world, a designation that suggests that the tide of modernization and industrialization is lifting all boats, as they did in Europe after World War II.

In the recent environment, I was hesitant to criticize the universities because they are under assault now, as humanist institutions with antique loyalties to learning and to freedom of thought. But the universities have in general bent the knee to the devaluation of humane studies, perhaps because the rationale for that devaluation has come from their own economics departments and business schools. For decades scholars have read American history in these and related terms, excluding those movements and traditions that would challenge this worldview. Freedom of thought has valorized criticism, necessarily and appropriately. But surely freedom of thought is meant to encourage diversity of thinking, not a settling into ideological postures characteristic of countries where thought is not free. If the universities lose their souls to a model of human nature and motivation that they themselves have sponsored, there will be some justice in this and also great loss, since they are positioned to resist this decline in the name of every one of the higher values.

Any reader of early economics will recognize the thinking that has recently become predominant, that the share of national wealth distributed as wages must be kept as low as possible to prevent the cost of labor from reducing national wealth. This rationale lies behind the depression of wages, which has persisted long enough to have become settled policy, a major structural element of American society and a desolating reality for the millions it defrauds. Polarization is no fluke, no accident. It is a virtual institutionalization in America of the ancient practice of denying working people the real or potential value of their work.

Institutionalization may be less a factor here than inculcation. Long before the pandemic struck, the protections of the poor and marginalized that largely defined the modern Western state had been receding, sacrificed to the kind of policy that presents itself as necessity, discipline, even justice tendentiously defined. Wealth can be broadly shared prosperity, or it can be closely held, private, effectively underwritten by the cheapening of the labor of the nonrich, which reduces their demand for goods and services. When schools and hospitals close, the value of everything that is dependent on them falls. Austerity toward some is a tax cut for others, a privatization of social wealth. The economics of opportunism is obvious at every stage in this great shift. And yet Americans have reacted to the drove of presumptive, quasi, and faux billionaires as if preternatural wealth were a credential of some kind.

All the talk of national wealth, which is presented as the meaning and vindication of America, has been simultaneous with a coercive atmosphere of scarcity. America is the most powerful economy in history and at the same time so threatened by global competition that it must dismantle its own institutions, the educational system, the post office. The national parks are increasingly abandoned to neglect in service to fiscal restraint. We cannot maintain our infrastructure. And, of course, we cannot raise the minimum wage. The belief has been general and urgent that the mass of people and their children can look forward to a future in which they must scramble for employment, a life-engrossing struggle in which success will depend on their making themselves useful to whatever industries emerge, contingent on their being competitive in the global labor market. Polarization is the inevitable consequence of all this.

The great error of any conspiracy theory is the assumption that blame can be placed on particular persons and interests. A chord is struck, a predisposition is awakened. America as a whole has embraced, under the name of conservatism and also patriotism, a radical departure from its own history. This richest country has been overtaken with a deep and general conviction of scarcity, a conviction that has become an expectation, then a kind of discipline, even an ethic. The sense of scarcity instantiates itself. It reinforces an anxiety that makes scarcity feel real and encroaching, and generosity, even investment, an imprudent risk.

Lately, higher education has been much on the minds of journalists and legislators and, presumably, potential students and their families, who are given to understand that higher education is crucial to their financial prospects and also that the costs and debts involved may be financially ruinous. Worse, the press speaks of elite universities as if there were only a dozen or so institutions in the country where an excellent education can be had. In fact there are literally hundreds of colleges and universities in this country that educate richly and ambitiously. Many of the greatest of them are public, a word that now carries the suggestion that the thing described is down-market, a little deficient in quality. Anyone who notices where research and publishing are done knows that these schools are an immense resource, of global importance. In the midst of this great wealth of possibility, an imaginary dearth is created, and legislatorsout of an association between political courage and parsimonyrespond with budget cuts that curtail the functioning of these magnificent, prosperity-generating institutions. It should be noted that elite schools are also embracing the joylessly vocational emphasis that is the essence of these panicky reforms.

How is it that we can be told, and believe, that we are the richest country in history, and at the same time that we cannot share benefits our grandparents enjoyed? When did we become too poor to welcome immigrants? The psychology of scarcity encourages resentment, a zero-sum notion that all real wealth is private and is diminished by the claims of community. The entire phenomenon is reinforced by the fact that much of the capital that accumulates in these conditions disappears, into Mexico or China or those luridly discreet banks offshore.

The minimum wage has become the amount an employer can get away with paying. It is neither the amount a worker needs to sustain a reasonable life nor, crucially, to be important enough as a consumer for his or her interests to align with other interests. Because workers are underpaid, they are often treated as dependents, as a burden on the safety net, which is actually a public subsidy of the practice of underpayment. Workers often do not fall into the category of taxpayer, a word now laden with implication and consequence. It implies respectability, a more robust participation in citizenship, and, fairly or not, an extreme sensitivity to demands made on his or her assets for the public benefit. Equitable policies are often precluded in the name of the taxpayer so forcibly that the taxpayerthat is, a fair percentage of the publicis never really consulted. In this time of polarization, such language reflects an ugly, alienating division in our society, with bad faith at the root of it. Proud people are insulted, those same people we now call essential because they work steadily at jobs that are suddenly recognized as absolutely necessary.

Behind all this there is a scarcely articulated variant of an old model, once prevalent throughout the West, that invoked national wealth as the summum bonum of collective life. For the purposes of the theory in its present iteration, the absurd wealth that has accumulated at the top end of polarization is reckoned as part of the national wealth no matter how solidly it is based in poverty. In the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, great engines of wealth built global empires that filled the world with colonialism, militarism, and racialism, as well as monuments and marching bands. These trappings of power generated the excited identification of the masses with the nation no matter how hostile the system was to their own interests.

As adapted for what was recently the present, this wealth is still a product of national policiesfavorable taxation, imaginative banking regulations, and low production costs, including depressed wages and lowered safety and environmental standards. The cinch that tightens such slack as remains in the lives of the underpaid is called austerity or fiscal discipline. Austerity has not touched the beneficiaries of these arrangements, nor has fiscal discipline. These policies amount to continuous downward pressure on the accommodations made to the fact that wages are not sufficient to meet basic needs. Austerity and discipline retain their brisk, morally coercive force, amazingly. The work ethic persists through impoverishment, unemployment, deindustrialization driven by pools of cheap labor elsewhere, and the de-skilling that is the effect of all these declines.

This is to say that the kind of shame suffered most sharply by proud people has been put to use to sustain this ugly economic and social configuration, too opportunistic and unstable to be called a system. It offers no vision beyond its effects. Obviously the depletions of public life, the decay of infrastructure, the erosions of standards affecting general health are not intended to make America great again. They are, in the experience of the vast majority of Americans, dispossessions, a cheapening of life.

The theory that supports all this is taught in the universities. Its terminology is economic but its influence is broadly felt across disciplines because it is in fact an anthropology, a theory of human nature and motivation. It comes down to the idea that the profit motive applies in literally every circumstance, inevitably, because it is genetic in its origins and its operations. Selfishness, its exponents call it, sometimes arguing that the word in this context has a special meaning, though the specifics of the sanitizing are unclear. Behind every act or choice is a cost-benefit analysis engaged in subrationally. This is to say that thinking itself is the product of this constant appraisal of circumstance, which is prior to thinking, therefore not subject to culture, moral scruples, and so on, which are merely a scheme of evolution to hide this one universal intention from the billions of us who, in our endless diversity, make up the human species. Greed is good, or at least good enough to have brought us this far. For an important part of any population, these would be glad tidingsmoral considerations not only suspended but invalidated, moralists revealed as hypocrites and fools as well, since they have no idea that the genius and force of evolution are against them. By its nature, this worldview is based in the moment, in any new occasion to seek advantage.

This view of things is radically individualistic, indifferent to any narrative of identity or purpose. It takes a cynical view of people as such, since no ones true motives are different from those of the consciously selfish. Because there is only one motiveto realize a maximum of benefit at a minimum of costthose who do not flourish are losers in an invidious, Darwinian sense. Winners are exempt from moral or ethical scrutiny since advance of any sort is the good to be valued. Progress is likewise exempt from the kind of scrutiny that would raise questions about the real value this process generates, reckoned against other value that is precluded or destroyed.

Americans never believe that Americans are actually influenced by the education they require of themselves and one another, on which they lavish much wealth. To do so would smack of intellectualism, a trait we do not grant ourselves. The same economic model is prevalent in Britain and France, perhaps Europe in general, though it is asserted in other terms. Austerity has prevailed there for decades. The issues raised by the Yellow Vest movement in France are highly consistent with the situation in America. The retraction of policies that acknowledged the claims of the population at large on the wealth of their nation can be described, historically, as the return of the ancien rgime, or as the final triumph of capitalism, or as proof of the waning of Judeo-Christianity, or as recognition of the fact that, when all is said and done, self-interest is indeed the one unvarying human motive. All these could be true simultaneously, each reinforcing the others.

This theory has all the power among us of an ideology, though it lacks any account of past or future, any vision of ultimate human well-being. It promotes itself as nationalism, though its operations are aggressively global. The supposed nationalism plays on a nostalgia for the postwar decades, when the prestige of countries and regions was measured by living standards. Perhaps it derives also from the myth of ideological conflict, the notion that if the Russians had communism, America must have an equal and opposite ideology. This would be called and in time would become capitalism, though the economy Marx critiques under that name is the highly exceptional colonial, industrial, and mercantilist Britain of the nineteenth century.

It is one of the stranger turns in modern history that, for the purposes of this epochal controversy, one man, Karl Marx, named and described both of these ideologies. This is a great concession made to someone whose thought his antagonists claimed to deplore, though it is fair to assume both that they had not read him and that they were simply content to be spared the effort of arriving at definitions of their own. Also, he had the chic of being dangerously European. The pastiche, or the motley, we are inclined to think of as American self-awareness is strange under scrutiny. If we are uniquely characterized by entrepreneurialism, for example, why is the only name we have for it a word of unassimilated French? That sort of thing is usually a signifier for pretentiousness or embarrassment. This little oddity is germane to the larger case against the status quo ante, in which many of our governing assumptions are flimsy and nonsensical, and have stood in the place of meaningful thought, especially in lofty circles, in institutions of great influence, the universities.

Because of this quaint adherence to Marxian categories a narrative has emerged over time that capitalism is the single defining trait of American civilization, the force that has propelled the country not only to unprecedented wealth but also to high levels of personal and political freedom. These assumptions are in need of scrutiny, not by comparison with other countries but of this country with itself a few generations ago. The other half of the great binary, communism, was never realized anywhere, never successful anywhere so far as it was attempted. That somehow legitimizes Marxs schema, even though this is not at all the result he predicted.

Never mind. We are left with the certainty that a civilization can be wholly described by its economy, and that ours is exhaustively and triumphally capitalistmaking anomalous the many well-established features of the culture to which the word public might attach: schools, lands, and, more generally, public works, public services, the public interest. If the furthest implications of the reign of selfishness are not yet fully actualized, no doubt custom, manners, image, shame, or the occasional laws are the obstacle, since the theory itself is so simple and natural in its operation that it should be as small an intrusion on the order of things as multiplying everything by one. It could be used to rationalize stealing the pennies from a dead mans eyes, true, even considering the nugatory value of the contemporary penny. Judgment as to whether it has reached this extreme must await a fuller knowledge of its global impact. Closer to home, it has scuppered the old habit of measuring wealth by standard of living. Averaging helicopters, yachts, and offshore accounts against imminent eviction would not yield a meaningful result.

The cult of cost/benefitof the profit motive made granular, cellularnot only trivializes but also attacks whatever resists its terms. Classic American education is ill-suited to its purposes and is constantly under pressure to reformthat is, to embrace as its purpose the training of workers who will be competitive in the future global economy. What this means, of course, is that universities and students themselves should absorb the cost to industry of training its workforce. Since no one knows what the industries of the future will be, a wrong guess about appropriate training could be costly, which means it would be all the smarter, from a certain point of view, to make colleges and students bear the risk. If this training produces skills that are relevant to future needs, their cost to the employer will be lowered by the fact that such skills will be widely available. In any case, the relative suitability of workers will be apparent in their school history, so industry will be spared the culling of ineffective employees. Those who fail to make the cut will be left with the pleasures of a technical education that is always less useful to them, skills that will be subject to obsolescence as industries change. Certain facts go unnoticed in all this. The great wealth that is presented as endorsing an American way of doing things was amassed over a very long period of time.

Lifetime earnings as well as longevity are adduced to demonstrate the value of university education. Obviously, these are measures of the well-being of people who were educated a generation or two ago. Otherwise, there would be no way of measuring workers peak earnings or their longevity. So there is clear evidence of the economic value of an education based on the humanist model that is now under siege. There is no evidence that education designed to train a workforce would be equally productive of wealth, but it would be profitable in another way, cheapening labor by diminishing the participation of the public in whatever wealth is produced. This is the embrace of inequality, accumulation on one side accelerated by deprivation on the other.

Historically, we have offered our youngthough never enough of themexposure to high thought and great art, along with chemistry and engineering. There is an opulence in all this that has no equivalent in the world. What were those earlier generations thinking when they built our great city-states of research and learning? All those arches and spires induce the belief in undergraduates that they have a dignified place in human history, something better than collaborating in the blind creep of a material culture that values only itself, that is indifferent on principle to the past, and inclined, when it considers a future, to imagine the ultimate displacement of the human worker and at the same time to develop systems of social control of which even Bentham could not dream. Why control people for whom no role or use is imagined? If these futures seem incompatible, the theory of cost/benefit does not admit of such criticism. Present trends, inevitably understood in light of emergent possibilities, are, in the nature of things, ineluctableor they were until a few weeks ago, when the system that had become more or less coextensive with our sense of reality abruptly collapsed.

Emergencies remind us that people admire selflessness and enjoy demands on their generosity, and that the community as a whole is revivified by such demands. Great cost and greater benefit, as these things are traditionally understood. If in present circumstances we are driven back on our primitive impulses, then we should be watching our collective behavior carefully, because it will be instructive with regard to identifying an essential human nature. In more senses than one we are living through an unprecedented experiment, an opportunity it would be a world-historical shame to waste.

Its value as experiment is enhanced by the near absence of leadership from the central government. In various forms, the crisis will persist indefinitely. Over time communities will organize themselves according to their senses of decency and need. Since this crisis is as novel as the virus that has caused it, and since the lack of a helpful central government is unique in the modern period, old thinking and new thinking will emerge over time, and the calculus of cost will be reckoned against the cost of failing to sustain the things that are valued. Benefit will be realized in the fact that needs are identified and served, with all the satisfactions this will entail. Allowing for regional variations, to the degree that democratic habits persist, the country will get by.

As Americans, we should consider our freedomsof thought, press, and religion, among othersthe basic constituents of our well-being, and accept the controversies that have always arisen around them as reflecting their vitality. Not so long ago they were something new under the sun, so if there is still a certain turbulence around them this should remind us that they are gifts of our brief history. We should step away from the habit of accepting competition as the basic model of our interactions with other countries, first because it creates antagonisms the world would be better off without, and second because recent history has shown that the adversary is actually us, and for ordinary people there is no success, no benefit.

And we have to get beyond the habit of thinking in terms of scarcity. We live in the midst of great wealth prepared for us by other generations. We inherited sound roads and bridges. Our children will not be so favored. Since the value of basic investments is not realized immediately, we cannot rationalize the expenditure. We are the richest country in history, therefore richer than the generations that built it, but we cannot bring ourselves even to make repairs. Our thrift will be very costly over time. The notion or pretense that austerity is the refusal to burden our children with our debts is foolish at best. But it is persuasive to those who are injured by it as surely as to those who look at a pothole and see a tax cut. Hiding money in a hole in the ground has seemed like wisdom to some people since antiquity. And there are many who are truly straitened and insecure, and are trusting enough to assume that some economic wisdom lies behind it. Legislators all over America, duly elected, have subscribed to this kind of thinking and acted on it.

We have seen where all this leads. It creates poverty, and plagues batten on poverty, on crowding and exhaustion. If the novel coronavirus did not have its origins in the order of things now in abeyanceother possibilities are even darkerthat order was certainly a huge factor in its spread.

As a culture we have spent a great deal of time in recent decades naming and deploring the crimes and injustices in our history. This is right and necessary. But the present crises have exposed crimes and injustices deeply embedded in the society we live in now. So we provide our descendants with a weighty burden of guilt to lament. This ironytoo mild a wordcasts grave doubt on the rigor of our self-examinations.

All this comes down to the need to recover and sharpen a functioning sense of justice based on a reverent appreciation of humankind, all together and one by one. The authenticity of our understanding must be demonstrated in our attempting to act justly even at steep cost to ourselves. We can do this as individuals and as a nation. Someday we will walk out onto a crowded street and hear that joyful noise we must hope to do nothing to darken or still, having learned so recently that humankind is fragile, and wonderful.

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What Kind of Country Do We Want? | by Marilynne Robinson - The New York Review of Books

Nobody coming to Henry Co. – News – Galva News

No visitors allowed in the area at least for now. So whats the director of the Henry County Tourism Bureau, whose job it is to entice people to the area, supposed to do?

Cheryl Osborne, executive director of the Henry County Tourism Bureau, described her current job as more maintenance than promoter.

The state of Illinois has frozen funds and grants that would have gone for advertising.

We would have had a campaign running, said Osborne, who took over the position almost three years ago.

The campaign would have included paid advertising outside of the area, from Peoria and the Quad Cities to as far north as Chicago, and promoted the area's springtime outdoor activities.

As of April 1, only essential spending through the end of the fiscal year in June, enough to keep the lights on, is being done.

But that doesn't mean Osborn doesn't still has plenty to do.

As far as spending goes, that doesnt mean I am not promoting Henry County, she said.

Ive still been promoting, but Im not pushing come see us.

Instead, Osborne said she is promoting the area in appropriate ways that would remind people about area events once the ban has been lifted. Its more like, Keep us in mind when they can travel.

The tourism bureaus website, visithenrycountry.com is still up and running. Osborn said she has added links to keep people updated about COVID-19. In addition, the website is posting information about already scheduled events that may be postponed, rescheduled, modified or cancelled.

Over the weekend, the annual Geneseo Art Walk went virtual. People could log on and take a virtual tour through the works of both amateur and professional artists. Other spring events, such as Galvas Freedom Fest, scheduled for the fourth of July, have been postponed. Bishop Hills Abba Salute Concert, originally planned for May 31, has been cancelled with hopes that it can be rescheduled. And Andovers 185 Anniversary event has been postponed until next year, making it the 186th Anniversary.

All of those activities generate traffic for local business which leads to tax revenue for the county and its municipalities which includes the tourism office. Without those extra activities, that local money doesn't get circulated and government budgets are diminished.

Osborn has recently started a social media page called Henry County Strong for county residents to share the latest news, updates, important information and resources.

The idea is to help our businesses and provide support and morale so when were ready for tourism, our businesses are supported at that time, she said.

The tourism bureau is also working with the Illinois Council of Convention and Visitors Bureaus on a plan for the aftermath of this unprecedented pandemic.

Were all working on a recovery plan, Osborn said. Once this is lifted and people are encouraged to travel more, How are we going to approach the recovery plan?

For now, Osborne sees the job of the tourism bureau as that of informational support and assistance.

Tourism is going to be a part of the recovery.

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Nobody coming to Henry Co. - News - Galva News

Conservatism in the crisis – The Economist

May 2nd 2020

FOLLOWING THE strangely tidy conclusion to their presidential primary, the Democrats are marching in lockstep. This week Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, queen of the #MeToo movement, dismissed an allegation of sexual assault against Joe Biden on the basis that the former vice-president had denied it. Al Franken and Brett Kavanaugh would have been glad of the same treatment.

Meanwhile the Republicans appear to be trying to fill the role of feuding opposition their rivals have vacated. The only stiff resistance to the $3trn stimulus authorised by Congress came from their ultra-libertarian wing. One of its members, Congressman Thomas Massie, accuses his colleagues of abandoning conservative principles by tiding over Americas shuttered economy. It seems he was not mollified by Mitch McConnells more tactical small-governmentism, displayed in the Senate leaders opposition to bailing out stricken Democratic states. Larry Hogan, the pragmatic Republican governor of Maryland, called letting states go bankrupt complete nonsense. Meanwhile a former compadre of Mr Massie in the House Freedom Caucus, Justin Amash, declared a plan to run for president for the Libertarians.

Another querulous Republican faction looks closer to the grain of the crisis. Led by some of the most interesting conservative thinkers, including Yuval Levin and Oren Cass, plus a handful of senators, it rejects Mr Massies market fundamentalism and takes a more flexible and positive view of government than most Republicans have since the 1970s. Its members, who include Trump-style populists and the remnants of a reform conservative movement that began in the doldrums of George W. Bushs presidency, want to turn the partys attention from economic freedom to socioeconomic outcomes, from corporations to workers. A pro-poor redesign of one stimulus bill by Senators Tom Cotton, Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio, all affiliated with this faction, was an indication of its growing alignment. Its members believe the crisis has validated their position and pushed it to the centre of politics.

Mr Rubio said as much in a searing critique of his partys economic libertarianism in the New York Times last week. He connected the damage it has done to some working-class communities, the loss of industrial capacity exposed by the crisis and the absence of adequate stockpiles of the medical supplies America no longer makes. All, he argued, are products of a misguided homage to economic efficiency, rooted in a hyperindividualistic ethos, that the coronavirus has shown to be self-defeating as well as immoral. To address these inadequacies, he would boost domestic production through a range of industrial and labour policies.

Mr Cass, who on May 5th will launch an impressive organisation of this dissident faction, called American Compass, would go further. A former policy director for Mr Romney, he describes the crisis similarly as an indictment of an economic piety that ignores many values that markets do not capture, including the well-being of American workers and development of future industries. Supply chains are much more than whoever is promising to make something more cheaply tomorrow, he says. In an influential book on labour-market reform, he has proposed a range of novel fixes, including wage subsidies and labour unions, and some familiar ones, including more aggressive deregulation than even Mr McConnell might consider feasible.

Politics does seem to be moving towards the dissidents. With the government standing between millions of Americans and ruin, hardly anyone, maybe not even Mr Massie, will propose starving the beast for a bit. The crisis is also likely to slow and, in specific industries such as health care, reverse globalisation. Yet the Republican quarrelling and rise of the dissidents are mainly a response to the equally disorientating reality of Donald Trump.

The presidents lack of attachment to any Republican faction has encouraged all to claim to be the animating spirit of his revolution. The Freedom Caucus claim him for their pugnacious anti-establishmentarianism. The small-government establishment notes that his only big legislative achievement was the tax reform it designed. The dissidents claim more convincingly to be offering solutions to the working-class grievances Mr Trump highlighted on the trail, even though he has since jettisoned them.

This may explain why their programme seems more political than the cerebral Mr Cass would care to admit. There is a rational and, given his focus on strengthening institutions, conservative case for his proposed labour-market reforms. The same cannot be said for the immigration curbs and laissez-faire attitude towards climate change he also advocates. Both look like pandering.

That is forgivable to a degree. Even critics of Mr Rubio and Mr Cass should recognise that their proposals are the most direct answer to the presidents ethno-nationalism available. Going back to the hoary question of whether his working-class fans were incited more by economic or by racial anxiety, Mr Trumps behaviour suggests he thinks it was the latter; Mr Rubio et al refuse to accept that.

The irony of this is that they have fashioned a virtuous Trumpian agenda that has little or no chance of being promulgated under Mr Trump. No more are the libertarians or small-government pharisees or pragmatists like Mr Hogan hopeful of influencing his scattergun administration. All are wrestling to claim the post-Trump future of their partywhich leads to two further conclusions.

First, that future will be determined not by ineluctable socioeconomic forces but by whoever wins the partys next presidential nomination. The Democrats embrace of fiscal rectitude in the 1990s now looks inevitable. But had Bill Clinton not scrambled to a second-place finish in New Hampshire, it would not have happened. Second, the fact that Republicans are feuding only six months from a general election suggests that many of them believe their post-Trump future may not be far off.

This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline "Conservatism in the crisis"

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Conservatism in the crisis - The Economist

Advising Presidents: The Importance Of Maurice Greenberg – The National Interest

COTEMPORARY U.S. foreign policy challenges echo those that emerged in the immediate aftermath of the Cold War. From 1989 to 1994, with the dawn of a New World Order, the United States began a protracted process of bringing China and Russia into a more productive engagement with the West. It was predicated on the belief that economic policy shapes political systems and that free trade is one way to demonstrate the poverty of central planning. The legacy of that era continues today, with China better off thanks to free trade and Russia worse off due to its entrenched resistance to capitalism.

Clear-eyed statements of the challenge from that era remain valuable, and merit attention. A bracing starting point is the January 1989 Foreign Affairs article American Foreign Policy: The Bush Agenda by former President Richard M. Nixon, primarily addressing post-Soviet Russia. One of the most astute statesmen on the modern world stage, Nixon devoted most of his post-presidential years to international affairs, writing prolifically and engaging with leaders worldwide, urgently during this period.

Nixons chief interlocutors included a contemporary international business executive, Maurice R. (Hank) Greenberg, as immersed in international commerce as Nixon was in geopolitical strategy. Working with trailblazing investments in China begun in 1919 by his mentor, C.V. Starr, Greenberg became prominent for founding, in 1968, what he would lead to become the worlds largest commercial insurance company: American International Group (AIG).

For many years, the two maintained a vibrant correspondence on international affairs. That correspondence, along with related exchanges Greenberg conducted with other presidents and officials, illuminates contemporary challenges and potential solutions. It remains valuable for anyone interested in the sources and conduct of American foreign policy.

Greenberg and Nixon shared much in common, though from different perspectives: Nixon, the president and public servant; Greenberg, the global business executive who made U.S. foreign policy his and AIGs business. They were both internationalists, realists, and pragmatists. Nixon was a contemplative thinker, Greenberg a quick study. Patriots to the core, both leaders influenced governments and businesses around the world.

Greenbergs position at AIG gave him uniquely valuable insights into global affairs and incentives to promote free trade as well as the rule of law. The company had major operations across the world, and Greenberg engaged directly with heads of state and senior officials. This was essential to protect the interests of both AIG and its client base of large international corporations, including the United States most visible multinationals.

During his tenure, Greenberg maintained close working relationships with all U.S. presidents, memorialized in substantial correspondence. President Jimmy Carter expressed his gratitude for Greenbergs support of his effort to grant most-favored-nation (MFN) trading status to Chinawhile both recognized that their views on many other matters of political and economic philosophy differed considerably. Greenberg shared more philosophically with President Ronald Reagan, who once in a letter to Greenberg aptly called Nixon a great American hero.

As vice president, George Herbert Walker Bush wrote to Greenberg, congratulating him on becoming chairman of the U.S.-asean Council for Business, stressing his personal commitment to strong economic relations with South East Asian countries. Greenbergs correspondence with President Bill Clinton included many substantive letters, revealing both clear views and open minds. The younger George Bush, when president, wrote Greenberg to affirm their shared commitments to core principles that remain a national priority: tax relief, fiscal restraint, and less regulation.

Few business executives had the exposure and experience Greenberg enjoyed, making him a worthy correspondent of the Oval Office. On the subjects of China and Russia, the correspondence is valuable reading on two levelssubstance for the savvy strategic thinking, especially on free trade and economic policy; style for the urbane, patriotic, statesmen-like argumentation. On substantive matters, two subjects stand out in Greenbergs presidential correspondence: adamant support for MFN status with China, including through the aftermath of 1989s Tiananmen Square crackdown, as well as support for private economic intervention in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

THE FRIENDSHIP between Nixon and Greenberg dated to their successful joint efforts, along with Henry Kissinger, in the revival of China-U.S. diplomatic relations in 1974 and economic exchange thereafter. For the next fifteen years, the two nations enjoyed increasing interaction in many spheres, economic, cultural, and diplomatic. The American trio believed such exchanges to be in the national interest. They held to those beliefs despite domestic convulsions in China.

In early summer 1989, demonstrators protested in Beijings Tiananmen Square, seeking freedom and democracy. On June 4, 1989, the Chinese government responded by massacring hundreds of the protestors and jailing tens of thousands, stoking worldwide howls of protest. In the United States, President George H.W. Bush issued executive orders halting arms shipments and high-level diplomatic engagement; the House proposed heavy economic and trade sanctions and suspended funding for a variety of U.S.-Chinese programs.

Greenberg, Kissinger, and Nixon led informal back channel diplomacy to work through the crisis. Their correspondence captured their thinking, which would ultimately inform U.S. policy. On November 17, 1989 Greenberg wrote to Kissinger, sharing highlights of his recent visit with Chinas top leaders.

I dont have to repeat for you the discussions with regard to Tiananmen Square and the attitudes in the U.S. to those events. I was blunt in my discussions in Shanghai as you were in Beijing and I was in the talks that I had. The other side of that issue is the belief on the part of Chinese leadership that they were confronted with an incipient revolution.

Moreover, as we were told repeatedly, the Chinese will not bow to pressure, never have, that simply increases their resistance and furthermore the differences in culture between our country and theirs is repeatedly pointed out as well as the original understanding when relations were reinstituted that we would not interfere in their internal affairs.

One of the purposes of the America China Society has been to maintain a continuity of bipartisan foreign policy towards China, and I would hope that the Society expresses its grave concern to the Administration with respect to pending legislation dealing with sanctions.

[S]anctions have not proven to be a successful foreign policy tool. In this instance, the application of sanctions would set back China-U.S. relations for some time. We can have more influence by maintaining relations than by freezing them. I would also suggest that it is not in our national interest, regardless of how we feel about what occurred within China.

I also believe that it is not in our national interest with respect to foreign policy in Asia and indeed the world (given the changes taking place in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe) for us to reduce our relationships with China from where they were before Tiananmen Square.

Congress was moving on legislation that would impose punishing sanctions on China. In a letter to Nixon on November 27, 1989, Greenberg explained his opposition to these pending bills. The context was a report on two trips Greenberg had taken to China in the prior two months. On the first, he met with Zhu Rongji, then mayor of Shanghai, for a session of the International Business Advisory Council. Greenberg reported:

The session in Shanghai covered how Shanghais economic development could be aided and/or assisted by foreign business. I was very candid with Mayor Zhu, as you were the Chinese leadership, in expressing the outrage which was felt universally over the tragic events in June. I also explained that foreign capital is directed where it feels secure, where an adequate return on equity is assured, and where laws and regulations are in place and not subject to change at whim. In addition, I cautioned against Central planning in that it discourages foreign investment with the concomitant increase in bureaucracy and inefficiency.

Greenberg turned to his second trip of that quarter, to Beijing, where he met with the countrys top officials, including President Yang Shangkun and Premier Li Pen. He shared with Nixon the following impressions, starting with the personal: he described Secretary General Jiang Zemin as forthright, knowledgeable, international in his outlook and, I believe, a person with whom we can do business. On policy, the topic of sanctions, Greenberg wrote:

I share your view that sanctions at this moment are wrongit is not in our national interest. Japan is gaining strength economically all the time and is exerting greater influence throughout Asia, making U.S.-China relations all the more important. The changes taking place in the Soviet Union and the uncertainness connected therewith, as well as Eastern Europe, reinforce the need to maintain a growing strategic relationship with China. Events in Europe, however, should not detract us from our interest in Asia

The bill on sanctions being passed by Congress will obviously be harmful to U.S.-China relations. I personally hope that there might be sufficient amendments to this bill that would permit the President to veto it. President Bush has a keen understanding of China and has tried to contain the damage. I believe that vetoing it is in our National interest, and hence, would not result in domestic political repercussions for the President that would have any lasting damage.

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Advising Presidents: The Importance Of Maurice Greenberg - The National Interest

Tulsa World editorial: Tom Coburn an unabashed advocate for freedom and duty was loved in Oklahoma and will be missed in the United States – Tulsa…

Tom Coburn, Oklahomas independent voice for conservative principles and fiscal responsibility, died Friday. He was 72.

Coburn rose from obscurity to national prominence on the strength of his intellectual abilities and his dedication to a strict reading of the U.S. Constitution.

That often made him out of fashion in Washington, but he was made to order for the people of Oklahoma, who were fed up with a national government that seemed unrestrained by economics or common sense.

A Republican in the 2nd Congressional District, which had been historically dominated by Democrats, Coburn was swept into the U.S. House in 1994. It was his first bid for public office.

Abiding by a promise to limit himself to three terms in the House, Coburn retired in 2000, but returned more popular than ever to the Senate in the 2004 election. He would serve 10 years there before retiring from elected office.

In Congress, Coburn was steadfastly dedicated to serving the nations long-term interests as he saw them, not necessarily his constituents short-term desires. He wouldnt work for pet projects and successfully led the Senate effort to ban legislative funding earmarks, one of his most lasting accomplishments.

His unique brand of leadership only added to his stature in his home state. When he retired from the Senate in 2014, he was clearly the most popular politician in the state.

Coburn cast a long shadow in Oklahoma and the nation. He campaigned for a national constitutional convention to force a balanced budget amendment. His opposition to Medicaid expansion helped solidify Republican opposition to the idea in the Mary Fallin administration.

Coburn was an unabashed advocate for freedom and duty. He was dedicated to the proposition that one leader could make a difference if he remained true to his course.

In his valedictory speech from the Senate floor, Coburn said the most important number in that chamber wasnt 60, the number needed to proceed with business, or 51, the number needed to pass bills.

The most important number in the Senate is one, Coburn said. One Senator. Thats how it was set up.

Our nation will miss his dedication to the causes of liberty and good government.

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Tulsa World editorial: Tom Coburn an unabashed advocate for freedom and duty was loved in Oklahoma and will be missed in the United States - Tulsa...

What Comes After the Coronavirus, Freedom or Despotism? – The Heartland Institute

The coronavirus crisis that has enveloped the world has brought about calls for society and economy-wide action on the part of governments that has been matched by the imposing of radical shutdowns and compulsory mass quarantining as tens of millions of people are told to not to go to work and to stay at home instead.

Governments have also been redirecting essential medical and related supplies in some places. In the United States, direct governmental commands for companies and industries to change what and how they produce has been declared to be in the executive hands of the president of the United States, when it is deemed necessary to meet the needs of the health crisis.

President Donald Trumps recent order for the automobile manufacturer, General Motors, to shift its production potentials to the manufacturing of ventilators for those stricken severely by the virus, under the authority of a Korean-war era piece of legislation, is merely an especially high-profile example of the central planning powers that governments have been asserting the right to implement.

Fundamental to everything that governments have been doing is the presumption that the crisis can only be handled and solved through a comprehensive system of political command and control. The chorus of voices making this case, along with their own proposals as to what should be the ingredients of the plan, has been deafening.

John Cassidy, writing for The New Yorker (March 28, 2020), insists that the most effective stimulus policy is doing whatever it takes to get some control over the viruss trajectory. He praised the bipartisanship of the Democrats and Republicans in successfully passing the $2 trillion spending package to stabilize the economy in the face of various levels of government ordering people to stop working and, therefore, to slow down or stop the flow of various goods and services from which come the streams of income dependent upon supplies being produced to meet market demands.

Over at Project Syndicate, Harvard University professor Carmen M. Reinhart says the lockdown and distancing policies that are saving lives also carry an enormous economic cost, and insists, Clearly, this is a whatever-it-takes moment for large-scale outside-the-box fiscal and monetary policies.

Also writing for Project Syndicate, economists Roman Frydman (New York University) and Edmund S. Phelps (Columbia University and Nobel Prize winner) declare that, the possibility of millions dying as the economy is crippled justifies substantially scaling up the extent and the scope of government action . . . citizens and governments should be prepared to pay what might appear an extravagantly high premium.

Among the government actions that Frydman and Phelps propose are the government redirecting the existing productive capacity to meet health care equipment shortages; financially supporting business firms to supply essential goods and services; supplying the needed quantities of money so people have the financial means to continue buying the goods and services they need; and a program to cover home and other mortgages of those no longer able to meet their regular financial obligations.

They want government helicopter money to be ongoing rather than a one or two-shot affair to meet the financial requirements of virtually everyones buying needs. To meet the needed production requirements to manage health demands from the virus, they say that the private sector cannot be trusted to do the job on its own; thus, the government must determine and direct what firms produce, for which purposes, in what quantities, and with government funding to make sure the job gets done.

To prevent price gouging for such products and failure to pay reasonable salaries to the workers doing these jobs, they also basically call for price and wage controls to assure reasonable wages and prices for the products at pre-crisis levels. If we can get it all just right, the coronavirus will be defeated, they are saying, and the world will be saved from disaster. We just need the right central plan designed in its details just the right way.

Of course, others are already looking beyond the coronavirus crisis to what lessons will have been learned for enlightened and rational intervention to guide human conduct away from its just-too-human follies and foibles. James Kirkup, the director of the London-based Social Market Foundation, therefore, asks, Will the Pandemic Kill Off Libertarianism? (March 25, 2020).

He criticizes rational choice theory in economics because it assumes that human beings are rational calculating machines who dispassionately weigh the implied costs and benefits from their actions, including the knowable and objective probabilities of the risks from following one course of action instead of another. Then each of the social and market agents makes the more or less correct decision concerning what to do and in what directions.

But when James Kirkup looks around, he finds that real human beings operate very far from such a benchmark of rational conduct and decision-making. Every reasonable person, fairly early on once the implications of the coronavirus were publicly known, should have stopped going to pubs or their local gym; they should have no longer socialized in common areas like public parks or in the shoulder-to-shoulder everyday marketplace.

People just would not do the reasonable and rational things to assure their own health and safety as well as all those around them, including friends and family members. The critics of traditional economic theory were, once more, shown to be right people are not rational calculators of the reasonable courses of action to follow. They are shortsighted in their thinking, they are illogical estimators of dangers and risks to themselves and others, and, therefore, they follow misguided notions of their self-interest that not only harms themselves but the rest of society as well.

Or as Kirkup suggests, If people arent rational about a situation that risks tens of thousands of lives and deep damage to our society and economy, how much weight should we put on the idea of rational actors in future? . . . Put it another way: once youve closed pubs and banned people from going outside, imposing, say, a tax to deter people from consuming sugary drinks is going to seem like a very small thing indeed.

So here we have a very interesting intellectual and ideological twist of fate. For more than 150 years, critics of the market disdained the economists emphasis on individual choice and pursuit of personal gain, especially reflected in the businessmans quest for profit.

These critics insisted that there was more to life than self-interest and material betterment; that man was a social animal connected with others outside of just himself that transcended personal profit and loss. There were the deeper attachments and senses of shared belonging of blood and soil and the transcendent community into which one was born. In addition, the rational economic man model in economics was also condemned by these earlier critics for assuming such rationality when, clearly, man is guided in reality by illogical and irrational views, values, and visions of what is good or bad, and reasonable or reckless.

Now we find among the latest generation of critics of the free market the argument turned around, with it being said that precisely because humans are not these rational economic calculators of costs and benefits, and of personal and social gains and harms, the government must radically intervene in various and sundry ways to make peoples actions consistent with conduct that would reflect such rational economic calculations, if only human beings could be trusted with the freedom to act in such ways!

The post-coronavirus world, according to Kirkup, will have to be one of extended and extensive political paternalism to reduce the impact of human imperfection in peoples thinking processes and actions, in both great and small ways, that do not represent the right choices for themselves or others in society. In other words: Im with the government, and I am here to make you live your life and act in ways you should and would want to, if only you were as reasonable, rational, and logical as those in government who have been assigned the task of designing policies that will nudge you in the directions that you will or should be thankful for, regardless if you realize it right now or in the future.

Herein lies both arrogance and hubris. There is the presumption of having found and distilled the correct and objective standards of judging and weighing alternatives on the basis of which the most rational choice would be made, when properly and accurately considering the relevant costs and benefits and degree and forms of risk facing each and every individual.

Who knows the logically correct and factually accurate data in the context of which a person should be making his decisions and choices? Clearly, the implied social engineer, the political paternalist, the economic nudger who will either directly command by requiring or prohibiting forms of conduct, or who will influence the terms of trade-offs indirectly through taxation, subsidy or regulation to move people into the proper courses of action.

This implies two ideas: first, that the planner and nudger knows the optimal or more desirable social outcome as a whole to which all the actions of the particular individuals should be moving the society; and, second, that the actions commanded or influenced by such government interventions are really right for the individual.

Behind this type of thinking, whether admitted to or not, is the belief that the social nudger assumes himself to be so far above and superior to others in his theoretical understanding, factual information, and valuational understanding of what is good for mankind and for all the individuals who make up humanity that he freely takes upon himself the authority and power to mold the shape of society and the destinies of all in it into the form that he considers the best.

Over 250 years after the Scottish moral philosopher Adam Ferguson (1723-1816) published his Essay on the History of Civil Society (1767), is it necessary to remind people of the reality of the limits to our knowledge and understanding of ourselves, others, and all the unanticipated and unknowable outcomes from the multitudes of mankinds members interacting? Or that attempts to direct people in ways that they find undesirable only sets the stage for various forms of social conflict? Said Ferguson:

Mankind, in following the present sense of their minds, in striving to remove inconveniences, or to gain apparent and contiguous advantages, arrives at ends to which their imagination could not anticipate . . . He who first said, I will appropriate this field: I will leave it to my heirs; did not perceive, that he was laying the foundation of civil law and political establishments . . .

Men, in general, are sufficiently disposed to occupy themselves in forming projects and schemes; but he who would scheme and project for others, will find an opponent in every person who is disposed to scheme for himself . . .The crowd of mankind, are directed in their establishments and measures, by the circumstances in which they are placed; and seldom turned from their way, to follow the plan of any single projector.

Every step and every movement of the multitudes, even in what are termed enlightened ages, are made with equal blindness to the future; and nations stumble upon establishments [institutions], which are indeed the result of human action, but not the execution of any human design . . .It may with more reason be affirmed of communities, that they admit of the greatest revolutions where no change is intended, and that the most refined politicians do not always know whither they are leading the state by their projects. (p. 122)

Or as Austrian economist, Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973) concisely expressed it in Theory and History (1957):

The historical process is not designed by individuals. It is the composite outcome of the intentional actions of all the individuals. No man can plan history. All he can plan and try to put into effect is his own actions which, jointly with the actions of other men, constitute the historical process. The Pilgrim Fathers did not plan to found the United States. (p. 196)

These presumptuous political paternalists, claiming to know what is best for every individual and optimally good for the society as a whole, show an indefensible hubris in asserting that they can step out of the very society and historical processes of which they are a single participant and know with necessary and sufficient certainty how the destiny of humankind should be directed, to be nudged into the best of all worlds?

This was emphasized by another Austrian economist, Friedrich von Wieser (1851-1926) in Social Economics (1914):

The economy is full of social institutions which serve the entire economy and are so harmonious in structure as to suggest that they are the creation of an organized social will . . . Such a social institution is illustrated by money, by the economic market, by the division of labor . . . finally by the economy [as a whole] itself, which is the greatest of these institutions, and includes all the others . . .

How could any general contractual agreement be reached as to institutions whose being is still hidden in the mists of the future, and is only conceived in an incomplete manner by a few far-seeing persons, while the great mass can never clearly appreciate the nature of such an institution until it has actually attained it full form and is generally operative? (p. 162)

Do these would-be nudging paternalists not get up each morning and put on their pants one leg at a time like the rest of us? Do they not sometimes give into everyday temptations and desires that their social scientific objectivity tells them is not always in their best interest? Are they not subject to the same imperfections and limits of knowledge like you and I are in often having retrospective thoughts on the errors and mistakes we have made? In other words, are they demigods to be trusted with the future of each and every one of us and the general society in which we all live? I will go out on a limb and suggest, probably not!

If they are correct that human foibles are too serious to be left up to the free choices of the individuals who make them, then how can those same imperfect and irrational individuals be trusted with the democratic right to vote for those who will be elected to government office? Not always knowing where their true interests lie, might they not elect wrong-thinking politicians who fail to appoint these very political paternalists to the policy making positions, without whose help society and the individuals in it could be doomed to disastrous consequences?

Is there, here, the faint scent of ideological and political despotism? Do these paternalists not have an inkling that as would-be government policy nudgers they are really societal noodges, political pests, irritatingly telling people how they should live, when those poor, irrational people yes, you and me would rather decide this for themselves?

And this gets us around to the earlier writers who we mentioned, above, those who consider a free, competitive, decentralized marketplace of supply and demand the wrong place to place trust in to solve the problems of a societal plague such as the coronavirus.

A good number of years ago, UCLA economist Harold Demsetz (1930-2019) pointed out the not infrequent tendency of critics of the market economy to compare markets as they work in the real world with a hypothetical ideal of a perfectly informed and only public interest-minded government, the latter being what he called the the nirvana viewpoint. It is then deduced that there are market failures all around us in contrast to a world in which that ideal government, manned by all-knowing, and perfectly rational politicians and bureaucrats, were put in charge instead.

Demsetz said that the working of real markets should be compared to how real governments operate. It would soon be seen that the society suffers from an abundant quantity of government failures in contrast to a vibrant and highly successful market economy.

When these critics who doubt the effectiveness of the market economy in a crisis such as the coronavirus suggest turning to the government to manage the problem, they suffer from the nirvana viewpoint that Demsetz challenged. The media has been full of stories about the failures of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) in both thoughtfully preparing for such a dangerous health risk before it arrived, and then their bureaucratic rigidity and attempts at protecting their monopoly turf in failing to allow developments of private testing techniques for the virus, or the operation of independent labs performing the tests to speed up results, or in not permitting the manufacturing and supplying of essential medical equipment by private producers not completely under their regulatory thumbs.

What could be better examples of government failure, failures that are inherent in the way bureaucracies operate in top-down central planning structures of regulatory control and command. Information has to be collected and digested at various local points, then passed on up through the bureaucratic control chain to different levels of evaluation and summary until it reaches a high enough level of policy decision-making that an actual plan concerning a course of action may be designed and ordered to be implemented.

At each level is the human element, not just in the sense that people may make mistakes and poor judgments. But, also, in that the people at each level have their own implicit motives and agendas relating to their departments authority and budget that influences how those responsible for evaluating and passing on information to the next higher level consider what is or is not important and relevant and consistent with the procedures and rationales for what each in the bureaucratic hierarchy is doing. This is the real world of government, not some hypothetical utopia of magical, wand-waving government that is ready, willing and able to solve all the problems of the world.

In the meantime, people on the ground often are limited or restricted in their ability to use their own knowledge and judgments, based on their own skills, experiences, and abilities, to solve part of the problem, if they only had the liberty to try.

To give just one instance, Wales Online recently told the story of a Welshmen who devised a way to design and quickly construct a ventilator that can serve as a highly workable device in place of the more scarce and more costly traditional ventilators used in hospital ICUs. Dr. Rys Thomas designed it in three days drawing upon his military and civilian experience with the use of anesthetics and resuscitation; he began manufacturing in partnership with a small private enterprise. It was allowed to be produced with little red tape, fortunately, by the Welsh government. But if Dr. Thomas had had to submit documentation, proof of testing and trials, and a lengthy approval process according to the usual FDA procedures here in the United States, people might have died that are being helped to breathe right now in Wales.

This is the type of discovery and adaptation to changing circumstances that Austrian economist Friedrich A. Hayek (1899-1992), had in mind, I would suggest, when in his famous article on The Use of Knowledge in Society (1945), he referred to the special and local knowledge of time and place possessed by individuals on the spot. By people having the latitude and liberty to not only see an opportunity but the discretion and freedom to try to use it in advantageous ways, we all benefit from what other individuals, whom we know nothing about, may do that will end up benefiting us in ways we could not have originally imagined.

This all highlights, in my view, why the emphasis upon and calls for the concentration of centralized decision-making and planning by government in meeting the challenge of the coronavirus is completely wrong-headed. It should be exactly the reverse. We should not want to restrict what people are able and could do to one overarching and imposed leadership team meant to guide and coordinate all that is going on in society to overcome the health crisis through which we are all passing.

The whole purpose of competitive markets and the price system is to have an institutional setting in which each individual in his own corner of society and the social system of division of labor may freely utilize what he comes up with and sees as possible answers to various aspects of the problems constantly popping up in different places, in different ways, with different features and requirements, given the way the virus is spreading and impacting different areas and communities.

The continuous changeability and adaptability of a competitive price system serves to indicate to any and all interested or potentially relevant fellow members of society where demand is greatest for various items and services, and what supplies are available in which quantities to meet those shifting needs in different parts of the country, and, indeed, around the world. Prices and wages are the best rationing guide for people to economize here as best they can, until some supplies relatively more abundant and less urgently needed there can be transported and transferred from one part of the country to another.

That very much ridiculed and condemned profit motive acts as a wonderful incentive mechanism for people to more accurately anticipate the patterns of future market demands for these health-related products and to adjust to changes when they have not had perfect forethought in a world in which the future can never be perfectly known.

The last thing that should be imposed are price and wage controls, like Roman Frydman and Edmund Phelps and others have been calling for. This short-circuits the institutional mechanism that enables the coordination of more people who know far more than any one or handful of minds can ever know to best utilize what everyone can contribute to solving any one problem and those other problems that are in competition for the scarce resources and labor services of the society.

Through the price system, we all contribute through our demands and our abilities to supply to compositely determine what should be produced, where and how it should be produced, and for whom at any moment of time and over periods of time in changing circumstances. No other economic and social system of human association and cooperation has ever been found to better improve the condition of humankind, both in sickness and in health, and in normal times as well as in serious emergencies and crises, as the competitive, price-guiding market economy. (See my article, Price Controls Attack the Freedom of Speech.)

Finally, this also brings us back to James Kirkups presumption on the claimed irrationality of real human beings and the need to paternalistically nudge us all into the direction of choice-making based upon a postulated model of rational economic man. It is not a secret that we all, in hindsight, make numerous mistakes and misjudgments in our choices. I know this certainly applies to me; just ask my wife, who never tires of reminding me of my follies and foibles!

But I would suggest that often what the political paternalist, with his model of supposedly objective, rational behavior, is missing is the fact that much of what is criticized and condemned as illogical or irrational conduct needing nudged correction are often reasonable and rational choices, if only looked at in the context of the local knowledge and circumstances that only that individual may possess and fully appreciate concerning the situation, opportunities, and costs as he sees them during and over any given period of time.

What we need, in general, concerning our fellow human beings is a humility that we do not and cannot really know enough to tell others how they should live and for what purposes. Furthermore, none of us, even the self-appointed social engineers, know enough to plan the direction and destiny of human society.

As Ferguson and Mises and Wieser reminded us, social and historical processes are far too complex, multifaceted and unknowable to plan the destination of mankind. This all is no less true when needing to call upon and coordinate the knowledge and abilities of millions to confront a health crisis like the coronavirus. Liberty remains the best means of saving and bettering mankind.

What is the underlying premise behind all of these arguments, whether focused on the immediate coronavirus crisis or looking beyond to the world after the crisis is behind us? It is that freedom does not work or does not work as effectively as the critic thinks it should if this health crisis is to be successfully grappled with. It is once again considered to represent a failure of the market that can only be compensated and corrected for by turning command and control over to the government and to the guiding judgments and decisions of those holding high political office and the presumed experts manning the bureaus, agencies and departments that make up the government.

[Originally posted at the American Institute for Economic Research]

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What Comes After the Coronavirus, Freedom or Despotism? - The Heartland Institute

What We’re Watching: New travel restrictions for those with COVID-19 symptoms start Monday – iPolitics.ca

Week3 begins: PM out of self-isolation but still working from home

With Sophie Gregoire Trudeau now fully recovered from the bout of COVID-19 that put her husbandinto self-imposed self-isolation for 14 days, the prime minister is now officially free to venture past the stoop of Rideau Cottage, but so far, theres no indication that hes planning to take advantage of his restored mobility rights any time soon.

READ MORE:Bill with emergency COVID-19 aid becomes law; offers $2,000 benefit for workers

Instead, likethe tens of thousands of Canadiansnowon pandemic-imposed lockdown,hes expected to keep working from home for the foreseeable future aside, that is, from his regularly scheduled mid-morning forays before the cameras.

Over the weekend, he announced new restrictions on domestic travel, which, as the Star reports, will kick in on Monday at noon, and prevent anyone presenting COVID-19 like symptoms such as fever, coughing, or difficulty breathing from boarding domestic flights or inter-city train services like Via Rail.

He also rolled out another round of emergency funding earmarked for the most vulnerable Canadians: seniors, youth and the homeless, as well as women and children fleeing domestic violence.

So, whats on the prime ministerial to-do list for this week?

While he doesnt tend to share the details in advance, it will almost certainly include regular huddles with his cabinet which, of course, he can now do in person, at least in theory as well as more announcements on what his government is doing to combat the spread of the virus, although not necessarily with quite so much frequency as has been the case for the last two weeks.

One thing he can at least tentatively cross off his to-worry-about list, however, is the prospect of American troops massing in proximity to the Canada-U.S. border, which was reportedly under serious consideration by U.S. President Donald Trump, but, as per the Wall Street Journal, was abruptly dropped after Canadian officials strenuously objected to the scheme.

Two House committees set to hit virtual meeting circuit

After reopening briefly last week for what turned out to be a considerably more contentious emergency sitting than expected, the House of Commons is nowback on hiatus until April 20, buttwo key committees have gotten the green light to start holding weekly meetings in the interim to track of the governments response to the pandemic.

Courtesy of the motion adopted at the end of last weeks marathon House sitting, the House finance and health committees have been duly authorized to get together at least once per week not in person, of course, but via video or teleconference call and accessible by the public through the parliamentary website. The committees will hear from ministers, public health officials and other expert witnesses who can provide real-time updates from the frontlines of the campaign to flatten the curve.

In addition to the weekly briefing sessions, as of March 30, the finance committee will also start getting a bi-weekly report on exactly how Finance Minister Bill Morneau has been using his temporary new fiscal freedom to funnel public funds into the fight against the coronavirus, as laid out in the COVID-19 Emergency Response Act adopted byParliament last week.

The motion also stipulates that either minister or his delegate will appear before the tele-committee to discuss the contents of those reports and if a majority of committee members arent satisfied with how the government is exercising his powers under the Act, they can file a report of their own to the speaker, which would trigger a recall of the entire House.

Meanwhile, Morneau will also have to set aside time to host a bi-weekly conference call to provide his opposition critics with regular updates on his efforts to mitigate the economic impact of the crisis.

As of Sunday morning, there was still no word on when the first round of tele-meetings would take place, but considering how keen the combined opposition forces are to continue holding the minority Liberal government to account despite the break in regular parliamentaryprogramming, its a safe bet that the virtual circuit will be up and running as soon as the technology required is in place.

Conservative leadership race officially on hold until May 1

Afterweeks of resistingincreasingly frantic pleasto hit pause on the race to replace Andrew Scheer and despite a franticlast-minute push from supporters ofpresumptivefront-runner Peter MacKay to stick to the pre-pandemic schedule the Conservative Party bowed to the inevitable on Friday with the announcement that the leadership election process has been suspended, effective immediately. As a result, the June 27 convention has been cancelled, with a final decision on the post-COVID-19 timeline to be made on May 1.

READ MORE:Conservative leadership race suspended, citing non-essential business closures

In the interim, the party notes, leadership campaign fundraising has also been suspended, as the party wont be processing directed donations, while the four candidates set to face off on the ballot will be asked and encouraged to refrain from contacting party members until after May 1.

Althoughthe membership deadline has been bumped to May 15, the suspension wont offer aretroactive reprieve for now former leadership hopefuls like Conservative MP Marilyn Gladu, who made the initial cut to be listed as an authorized applicant only to fall short of the requirements to be designated as a verified candidate.

As for the final four which, addition to MacKay, includes Conservative MP Erin OToole, who is widely viewed as a close second to MacKays, as well as rookie MP Derek Sloan and Toronto-based activist Leslyn Lewis it will be fascinating to see how their respective teams will deal with the party-imposed ban on fundraising and outreach.

Then again, given the ongoing lockdown, its not as though any of them would have been booking venues for in-person rallies.

As for MacKay, he may come to regret his very public pitch for the contest to carry on as planned during a Canada-wide public health crisis, particularly his much-retweeted two-word response to CTV News host Evan Solomon.

After all, depending on how the party decides to proceed, this could wind up being the first-ever leadership battle to be waged nearly entirely via social media messaging and meme drives, and its doubtful thatMacKays most recent tour of the political TV circuit will garner many votes from either rank-and-fileparty members or the undecided voters he hopes to win over when he leads his party into the next general election.

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