Square's (SQ) - Get ReportrecentQ1 2020 results surprised investors by missingits EPS estimates, although its shares still rallied. Indeed, Square's stock has been very volatile, as have most stocks of late, and although Square missed bottom-line estimates due to having to take reserves for transaction and loan losses, these are one-off and there's more here than meets the eye.
Square's smaller peer-to-peer payment service, Cash App, makes up 33% of total gross profits, but it's growing very quickly at triple digit revenue growth ratesand shows no signs of slowing down.
Square is priced at 7.4 times trailing sales, but its revenues continue to grow rapidly year-over-year by 44%.
Square reports that before the impact of COVID-19, the company was growing its gross profits 51% year-over-year, excluding its divested Caviar business. Gross profits are Square's preferred key performance indicator rather than revenues, sinceits cost of revenues includesprocessing fees and bank settlement fees paid to third-party payment processors, which are largely out of its control.
Performance before the impact of shelter-in-placehas been a theme among most reporting companies this quarter. Square notes that Q1 was performing strongly, but that in the second half of March, its results severely contracted.
Further, similar to most companies, despite Square stating that it expects a "material impact" to its upcoming results, investors are willing to look past that on the expectation that once the economy reopens, companies will be performing strongly once again.
It has long been understood that although Square derives 66% of its total gross profits from its Seller ecosystem, making it by far Squares biggest segment, this segment'srevenue growth rate is rapidly decelerating.
Specifically, despite Squares strong performance in the first two months of Q1 2020, the final two weeks of Q1 dragged down its Seller ecosystem segments performance so that it ended the quarter growing its revenues at 18% year-over-year.
Looking back to 2018, Squares Seller ecosystem was growing its revenue growth rates at 38%, then in 2019 it was growing its revenue growth rates at 30%. And Square exited Q4 2019 growing at 27%. Hence, even without the impact of COVID and shelter-in-place, the trend on Squares Seller ecosystem was already slowing down. Why?
This spaces economics are simply too attractive and face intense competition from numerous players, such as PayPal (PYPL) - Get Report, Shopify (SHOP) - Get Reportand Stripe. What's more, the latter weeks of March and in early April were particularly challenging for Squares Seller ecosystem, as it mostly relies on person-to-person card contact.
However, starting in the second half of April, this business unit started to stabilize as many businesses adapted their operations. Indeed, Squares Gross Payment Volume bounced back slightly compared with the start of April, driven by new sellers adapting to contactless commerce, thetiming of the Easter holiday and government stimulus programs.
If Squares story ended there, the allure of this stock would be wrongly placed. But although Squares Cash App segment only accounts for approximately a third of Squares total gross profits, this segment continues to grow its revenues at a breakneck pace.
This latest quarter saw Squares Cash App gross profits grow by 115% year-over-year. The readers' first question will be, was this a one-off, somehow related to COVID? Absolutely not.
Looking back to Q4 2019 this segment was up 147% year-over-year, and for Q3 2019 this segment was up 115% compared with the same period in the prior year.
So why is this segment growing at such a rapid clip? As Squares CEO Jack Dorsey (who is also Twitters (TWTR) - Get Report CEO) states, Square is about making payments quick and painless.
Squares Cash App is also attractive because it has very strong network effects since when a friend or employee adopts Cash App, they ask someone else to join them so that they can send payments to each other.
Accordingly, not only is Cash App seeing increased customers using Cash App to send payments, including celebrities sending funds to help support their fans and followers during this troublesome period, but its increased array of products are resonating with its existing customers, which is increasing the lifetime value of each customer, driving an increase in profitability.
On the surface, Square has is barely profitable. Furthermore, this quarter saw Squares EBITDA fall 85% year-over-year, as Square took reserves for transaction and loan losses. However, investors are seeing past this bumpy period and are willing to give Squares diversified portfolio the benefit of the doubt.
Presently, investors are paying 7.4 times Square's trailing twelve-month sales, which is in line with what investors have been paying during the 2018-2019 period.
Square's portfolio has two main segments. Its larger segment, Seller Ecosystem is still growing its revenue growth rates, but at a decelerating rate.
It also has a smaller segment, Cash App, that accounts for approximately 33% of total gross profits and it's postingtriple digits growth rates and showing no signs of slowing down any time soon.
It's still early days for its Cash App segment, but its performance looks very promising.
Read the original here:
Square Still Represents a Very Attractive Investment - TheStreet
- Green with Envy | How to Spot an Eco-Snob | Part III [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- EcoLogo [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- 5 Ways to Green Your Exercise Routine [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Seed Bombs [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Guerrilla gardening [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Green Your Morning Routine [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Environmental Benefits of Telecommuting [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Safeway Sponsors Portland Community Cleanup [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Electric Vehicle Race [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Portland Bridge Pedal 2009 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- E-waste in Oregon [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Bike Sharing in Portland [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Bucks for the Bay Challenge [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Drive to Make a Difference with MyMPG [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Bathroom Sprayers - Green your Toilet Routine [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Ubuntu OS can Save Energy [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Green Metropolis, David Owen [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Sustainable Pens: GLO Pens [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- International Day of Climate Action [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Donate to Oregon Toxics Alliance [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Biomass Energy Generation Myths [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Crude The Real Price of Oil | Playing in Portland [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Pictures From 350 Climate Day in Portland [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Arcimoto Electric Vehicles in Oregon [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Urban Rooftop Wind Turbines [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Chromium 6 Emissions from ESCO in Portland [Last Updated On: December 13th, 2009] [Originally Added On: December 13th, 2009]
- Food Inc. Review [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2009] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2009]
- Making Maps with Google Earth and Google Maps by Shane Bradt of the University of New Hampshire Cooperative Extension [Last Updated On: March 23rd, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 23rd, 2010]
- Demonstration of Miradi 3.1 by Nick Salafsky of Foundations of Success [Last Updated On: March 23rd, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 23rd, 2010]
- Advanced Mashups – KML and the Mapping API by Cary Chadwick of the University of Connecticut Center for Land Use Education and Research [Last Updated On: March 23rd, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 23rd, 2010]
- Demonstration of InVEST by Heather Tallis of the Natural Capital Project [Last Updated On: March 23rd, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 23rd, 2010]
- GIS Maps Online by Emily Wilson of the University of Connecticut Center for Land Use Education and Research [Last Updated On: March 23rd, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 23rd, 2010]
- From ArcGIS to Web Maps: Simple Techniques for Publishing GIS Maps Online by Emily Wilson of the University of Connecticut Center for Land Use Education and Research [Last Updated On: March 25th, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 25th, 2010]
- Demonstration of Marine InVEST by Anne Guerry of the Natural Capital Project [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2010]
- Eliminate and Decrease Styrofoam [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2010] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2010]
- Portland Plans to Spend $600 million on Master Bike Plan [Last Updated On: April 2nd, 2010] [Originally Added On: April 2nd, 2010]
- (Webinar in Spanish) Demostración sobre Vista 2.5 de NatureServe en línea (Webinar) por Ian Varley, Carmen Josse, y Alexandra Sanchez de Lozada de NatureServe. [Last Updated On: April 6th, 2010] [Originally Added On: April 6th, 2010]
- Using and Adding Your Content to Google Ocean by Charlotte Vick, Google Content Manager of Mission Blue [Last Updated On: April 13th, 2010] [Originally Added On: April 13th, 2010]
- End Paper Receipts [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2010]
- Demonstration of CanVis by Chris Haynes of NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: May 6th, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 6th, 2010]
- Demonstration of HD.gov Web Portal by Jeff Adkins from NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: May 13th, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 13th, 2010]
- Demonstration of Ecosystem Assessment and Reporting Tool by Steve Schill of The Nature Conservancy [Last Updated On: May 13th, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 13th, 2010]
- Demonstration of Version 2.0 of the Multipurpose Marine Cadastre by Adam Bode and Brian Smith of NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: May 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 17th, 2010]
- CRUDE Filmmakers Subpoenaed by Chevron [Last Updated On: May 22nd, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 22nd, 2010]
- Demonstration of the Digital Coast Coastal Inundation Toolkit by Steph Beard, Jodie Sprayberry and Billy Brooks of NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: May 25th, 2010] [Originally Added On: May 25th, 2010]
- Presentation on the Creating Resilient Communities EBM Tool Demonstration Project by Jocelyn Hittle of PlaceMatters [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2010] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2010]
- Presentation on Economic Data Needed for EBM by Linwood Pendleton of Duke University [Last Updated On: October 11th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 11th, 2010]
- Recycling Water [Last Updated On: October 16th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 16th, 2010]
- ODOT Partners with Oregon Toxics Alliance to Reduce Pesticides [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- Goats Hired to Mow Portland Lot [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- A World of Health: Connecting People, Place, and Planet [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- Alternative Recycling Options [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- No More Bullying the Bull Trout [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- 1000+ EV Charging Stations Slated for Oregon I-5 Corridor [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- The Vertical Farm Concept [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- Blog Action Day 2010 | Water [Last Updated On: October 17th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 17th, 2010]
- Eco Districts [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Will The Nissan Leaf Thrive? [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- A Green Railroad [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Biomass is not Oregon's clean-energy future as currently promoted [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Electrified Parking Spaces [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Tree Planting [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Three Tips to Reduce Your Carbon Footprint and Live Longer. [Last Updated On: October 24th, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 24th, 2010]
- Biomass is not Oregon’s clean-energy future as currently promoted [Last Updated On: October 31st, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 31st, 2010]
- Rail~Volution [Last Updated On: October 31st, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 31st, 2010]
- Green Streets Initiative [Last Updated On: October 31st, 2010] [Originally Added On: October 31st, 2010]
- Mayor Kitty Piercy and Envision Eugene [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2010]
- The Willamette River Transit Bridge [Last Updated On: November 13th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 13th, 2010]
- Collaborative Learning and Land Use Tools to Support Community Based Ecosystem Management by Chris Feurt of the Wells National Estuarine Research Reserve [Last Updated On: November 14th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 14th, 2010]
- Portland Federal Building Begins Green Makeover [Last Updated On: November 14th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 14th, 2010]
- Vestas’ New HQ in Portland Shoots for LEED Platinum [Last Updated On: November 14th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 14th, 2010]
- College Degrees to Get You in the Environmental Field [Last Updated On: November 14th, 2010] [Originally Added On: November 14th, 2010]
- Demonstration of openNSPECT, an Open Source Version of the Nonpoint-Source Pollution and Erosion Comparison Tool by Dave Eslinger of NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Demonstration of EMDS by Keith Reynolds of the US Forest Service [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Demonstration of Habitat Priority Planner by Chrissa Waite and Danielle Bamford of NOAA Coastal Services Center [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Presentation on the Coastal Adaptation to Sea Level Rise Tool (COAST) by Sam Merrill of the New England Environmental Finance Center [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Presentation on the Coastal and Marine Ecological Classification Standard by Kathy Goodin of NatureServe [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Demonstration of Coral Reef Scenario Evaluation Tool (CORSET) by Jessica Melbourne-Thomas of the University of Tasmania [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Demonstration of Multi-scale Integrated Models of Ecosystem Services (MIMES) by Roel Boumans and David McNally of AFORDable Futures LLC [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]
- Creating Life in the Desert [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2011] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2011]