One of the biggest financial stories of 2017 has been the seemingly unstoppable rise of bitcoin, which has more than tripled this year and seems to make new records by the day.
Such a rally has inevitably raised questions over whether there is a bubble in the digital currency, or in the broader space of cryptocurrencies, which earlier this week topped $100 billion in combined market capitalization. Breaking that milestone was largely due to bitcoin BTCUSD, +1.99% which by itself accounts for nearly half the value of the still-nascent sector. However, a new measure of bitcoin valuation, one based roughly on the price-to-earnings ratio applied to stock valuation, suggests that rally still has room to grow.
Read: 3 reasons why bitcoins surge may not be a bubble
Opinion: Three reasons to fear the coming crash in bitcoins
Gauging whether bitcoin is overvalued is tricky, as it is divorced from many of the standard attributes that can measure a securitys fundamentals. Unlike a stock, bitcoin has neither traditional revenue nor profits behind it, ruling out such equity statistics as price to sales or earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization.
And because it isnt backed by a central bank or government, viewing it in the way one might a currency isnt an apples-to-apples comparison. A commodity like oil can be measured based on the principles of supply and demand; bitcoin has no equivalent underlying asset. (The Internal Revenue Service classifies bitcoin as property rather than a currency, while the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission classifies it as a commodity.)
However, some analysts have developed what could be considered a price-to-earnings ratio for bitcoin, one that suggests the recent surge may not have taken it to bubble territory.
Bitcoins P/E ratio looks at the digital currencys network valuethe number of outstanding bitcoins multiplied by price; this figure is currently $44.69 billionagainst its daily transaction volume.
The reason I call it a P/E ratio is because when I think about what a P/E signifies for equities, it is basically the function of market cap and earnings. The earnings are the underlying utilitythe cash flow of the company, explained Chris Burniske, a blockchain analyst at ARK Invest, who has helped to develop this metric.
Bitcoin P/E is composed of similar concepts. Instead of market cap, you have network value. Thats then divided by the underlying utility of bitcoin, which is its ability to move money. Thats bitcoins core utility, same as a companys core utility is earnings.
This metric currently gives bitcoin a ratio of roughly 50, which is under its long-term average and well below past peaks, which have been above 200, and one time spiked to nearly 450.
On a stock, a P/E ratio of 50 would be pricey, Burniske noted, but I dont know if it should be considered pricey for bitcoin. It looks to be in a comfortable range, it isnt an outlier and right now the broad takeaway I have is that it doesnt look like were due for a mean revision.
He added that over time, cryptocurrencies would find a base range for valuation on this metric, one that lets investors know what would be reasonable to pay based on the cryptos daily utility.
While high P/E ratios are often seen as sell signals for stocks, Burniske suggested that any kind of extreme reading on this metric could signal a bitcoin selloff.
This ratio drops when bitcoin is in the late stages of rallies, because investors would take profits or move their money between exchanges out of nervousness. That leads to a lot of transaction value, which makes the denominator higher. Thats why its important to me, from a valuation standpoint, that it isnt high or low.
See the original post:
Is bitcoin in a bubble? This metric suggests there's more room to grow - MarketWatch
- Google removes malware Android apps used to secretly mine bitcoin [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin exchange MtGox liquidated [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Wannabe Litecoin Emerges as Low-Price Challenger [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- The Worlds First Bitcoin Debit Card Is Almost Here [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- How does Bitcoin work? - Bitcoin - Open source P2P money [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- The Bitcoin Group #27 - China Bans Bitcoin Again - Politics - Dark Market - Bitcoin VC - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Edan Yago - Free Market Bitcoin regulation and Honduras free trade zones.mp4 - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin vs. Political Power: The Cryptocurrency Revolution - Stefan Molyneux at TNW Conference - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Video: Roundup of This Week's Bitcoin News 25th April 2014 - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Fredagsbar med Torben Mark Pedersen - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin and the Internet of Money - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin for Dummies - Video [Last Updated On: April 26th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 26th, 2014]
- Bitcoin runner-up Litecoin emerges as low-price challenger [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- Bitcoin or Gold? Squawk Walk Taipei- Squawkonomics - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Miner AntMiner S1 180 - 200 GH/s Nu in de Aanbieding! - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- New Bitcoin Documentary: Boom or Bust - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- Bitcoin May v0.9.1 GitHub Source Code Development Visualization - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- Atomic-Trade Bitcoin Exchange. AML, BSA, FinCEN compliant - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- China Bans Bitcoin Again -- Bitcoin the Movie -- Startup for Startups Raises 2,000 BTC - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- 4/24/14 - Xapo Debit Card, Russia's 1st Bitcoin Conference, Silk Road 2.0 - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- What is Bitcoin? - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- David Andolfatto, How Does Bitcoin Work? - Video [Last Updated On: April 27th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 27th, 2014]
- Australian Bitcoin traders hit by crash [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Bitcoin traders hit by Mt.Gox crash [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Market Extra: Bitcoin venture capital money hasnt kept up with buzz [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Bitcoin price slips as China steps up regulation [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Bitcoin price slips on China regulation [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Win .33 Bitcoin ($150 or so, Depending on BTC value) - Meme game for May 1st - Take My Bitcoins - Video [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- Ron Paul on Bitcoin - Video [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- btc.sx Bitcoin derivatives platform George Samman clip - Video [Last Updated On: April 28th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 28th, 2014]
- 'The Rise And Rise Of Bitcoin' Filmmaker: 'There Is No Answer Yet' [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Bitcoin the movie: It just had to happen [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Vies with New Cryptocurrencies as Coin of the Cyber Realm [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- The Bitcoin Meetup - BitcoinMKE Hosts Jeffrey Tucker - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- MIT Bitcoin Expo 2014 - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Expo 2014: Fireside Chat with Dr Gavin Wood - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Rise Bitcoin Singapore - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Preview: Bitcoin Authenticator - 2FA for wallets - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- The Bitcoin Group #27 (Live) - China Bans Bitcoin Again - Politics - Dark Market - Bitcoin VC - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- 4/25/14 - More China uncertainty, Missourian bitcoin warning, BadLepricon malware - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- Money & Tech at The Rise And Rise Of Bitcoin Afterparty - Video [Last Updated On: April 29th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 29th, 2014]
- New Bitcoin student club at MIT will promote the virtual currency [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- 4/29/14 - MIT Bitcoin Project, Mt Gox revival plan, Mastercard lobbyists & Team Rubicon - Video [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- BitCoin Dentist GoCoin Fox News Interview - Video [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Foundation Election Hiccups -- Pathetic Ohio Bans Bitcoins -- Dogecon SF 2014 - Video [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Slips to $420 as BTC China Halts Transactions - Video [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- MultiSig Plus BitCoin Multi Coin Wallet looks like HUGE INVESTMENT potential! - Video [Last Updated On: April 30th, 2014] [Originally Added On: April 30th, 2014]
- Bitcoin: what happens when the miners pack up their gear? [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Dark Wallet Is About to Make Bitcoin Money Laundering Easier Than Ever [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Bitcoin Talk Show #7 -- Skype BitcoinTalkShow to Call in Live! 🙂 - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Basic Bitcoin Bitches - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Gold standard vs Fiat vs Bitcoin - Truthloader - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- How to Defund the System: Bitcoin vs. the Central Banksters - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Bitcoin, Anarchy and Freedom with Roger Ver - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- MIT Goes Bitcoin-Wild [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Bitcoin Weekly 2014 April 30: Bloomberg adds Bitcoin to their market index, MIT to produce campus-wide bitcoin ... [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- 'Dark Wallet' wants to make Bitcoin even harder to trace [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Bitcoin made simple (video animation) - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Jon Matonis: Bitcoin - The future of commerce? - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- $100 in Bitcoin Going to Every MIT Undergrad - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- The Rise of Digital Currency - Video [Last Updated On: May 1st, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 1st, 2014]
- Money Goes Virtual: The Bitcoin Bourse - Video [Last Updated On: May 2nd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 2nd, 2014]
- Bitcoin Lights with LIFX - Video [Last Updated On: May 2nd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 2nd, 2014]
- Bitcoin: How We Got Here and Where We Are Going [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- 5/1/14 - Larry Summers warns critics, Paym system & Bitcoin Center NYC roundtable - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- On est Connect S2 #07 1/2 : BitCoin et Musique sur Internet - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- MIT Undergrads To Receive $100 Worth Of Bitcoin This Fall - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- Why it only took ME less than 2 minutes to believe in Bitcoin - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- Bitcoin Basics and Regulation Thoughts from NH Liberty Forum - Bruce Fenton - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- PRIMER CAJERO DE BITCOIN EN BIT CENTER DE TIJUANA - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- Yelp adds Bitcoin acceptance to business listings - Video [Last Updated On: May 3rd, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 3rd, 2014]
- Bitcoin A Terrorist Threat? Counterterrorism Program Names Virtual Currencies As Area Of Interest [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- How Does Bitcoin Works - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- 10 Things You Didn't Know About BitCoin - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- BITCOIN The Future of Money - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- Bitcoin Miner Review - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- The Bitcoin Group #28 (Live) - Yelp Lists Bitcoin - MIT Bitcoin $100 - Dark Wallet - Ohio Bans BTC - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- Bitcoin: Gary North is Mentally Deranged And Bitcoin Will Change Everything - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]
- Who is the Bitcoin Warlord? - Video [Last Updated On: May 4th, 2014] [Originally Added On: May 4th, 2014]