Tight Congressional races may now swing to the GOP

From Eric Dondero:

Obama won Florida with 50.9% of the vote in 2008. His popularity in the State has plummeted since.

A new poll by Mason-Dixon (via TampaBay.com) shows ObamaCare's popularity now at 34% with 54% opposed. And more specifically:

Seniors disfavor the bill by a 65-25 percent margin, while independents oppose the law 62-34.

And the news is just as bad for Obama himself:

It shows that Floridians have a more negative than positive view of Obama by a margin of 15 percentage points. And they oppose his so-called "cap-and-trade" global warming legislation as well.

The news is having a great affect on Democrat elected officials in the State. Senator Bill Nelson, considered a relatively centrist Democrat, now stands at 34% popularity. What's more for his race in 2012 he's way behind likely GOP challengers.

Since his 2006 re-election, Nelson's popularity has nose-dived 18 percentage points, the poll shows... The poll shows Nelson would lose to Republicans in theoretical match-ups against former Gov. Jeb Bush, Gov. Charlie Crist and current U.S. Senate opponent Marco Rubio.

Jeb Bush (R) 50%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 35%

Charlie Crist (R) 47%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 37%

The pollster Brad Corker commented:

"If Bill Nelson's getting hurt by this, you can imagine what damage there is to other Democrats across the country..."

And yet another poll by Mason-Dixon shows expected Democrat candidate for Senate against either Rubio or Crist, getting clobbered in the general. Rubio would beat Kendrick Meek comfortably44% to 29%. Crist over Meek by an astounding 50% to 26%.

In the aftermath of the 2008 elections, Democrats were giddy at the prospects of turning reliably Republican Red Florida into a leaning Blue State. Those hopes have seemed to diminish, and quite dramatically. All of which could have a huge impact on tight congressional races in 2010, such as Allen West in Broward County against incumbent Democrat Rep. Ron Klein, along with potential GOP challengers to controversial Dem Rep. Alan Grayson in Central Florida, and to blue dogger Rep. Allen Boyd of Tallahassee who voted for the Health Care act.

That's a potential pick up of 3, 4, maybe even 5 Congressional seats for the GOP out of Florida. And heading into 2012, with a Romney, Palin, or even Jeb Bush on the ticket, there's now an increasing certainty that Florida will be solidly in the GOP column.