Locks

NBA (0.5 Unit) Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on TNT

Ok, I dont know what that was, but its not happening again. My sense is that the Wolves had too much time off to get high on their own supply of positive press, and that a more focused effort is coming tonight. Even Anthony Edwards acknowledged after the game that he was not prepared, so expect a much better performance from Minnesotas star that fuels the whole team.

The Wolves only lost back-to-back games four times this season, so they know how to bounce back. Books have also not been able to effectively line this series, and a two-point adjustment from Game 3 because of an outlier performance seems like another mistake, but one that makes the Wolves a much more attractive favorite. Lets hope they got their needed dose of humility after a wild 6-game run of success, and the wakeup call pushes them to a win tonight.

Bonus Bet (0.5 Unit): Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points (-110; Odds via DraftKings)

An angry Ant is a dangerous Ant. He looked very upset and disappointed with himself after Fridays loss, and if hes the blossoming superstar we all hope he is, a game like this is where he should show it. Edwards had a bad Game 2 against Phoenix last round and rebounded with 36 and 40 points the next two games. He also had a bad Game 1 against the Nuggets in last years playoffs, then averaged 35.0 PPG the rest of the series. I think a big performance is incoming.

NBA (0.5 Unit) New York Knicks Team Total Over 106 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 2:30 PM CT on ABC

The Knicks were well on their way to eclipsing their team total on Friday night until an awful fourth quarter derailed the offense. That 16-point output was a definite outlier given they put up 39 and 31 in the fourth quarters at MSG in this series, and its possible they just ran out of gas. Regardless, Im not reading too much into it, and expect them to continue their shredding of this Indiana defense today.

New York has shot it incredibly well from deep in this series, and Indianas laser focus on Jalen Brunson leaves opportunities that the Knicks should keep cashing in. This is a better number than Friday, the Knicks showed they arent laying down despite a ton of injuries, and it should result in them clearing the team total this afternoon.

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 2280-2097 ATS (+86.9 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games hes confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.

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Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 05/12 - Zone Coverage